PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000566

MQ-000566

Beşiktaş v Marseille · UEFA Europa League · Thu 17 Sept · 19:00 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

1X2 · HOME · 53.6% · confidence 50

בוטל

Fair price: 1.87
Market price: —
Probability gap: No market price to compare against.
Generated: Sun 13 Sept · 21:12 UTC
Published: Sun 13 Sept · 21:12 UTC
Locked: —
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSun 13 Sept · 21:12 UTCa3b1f…5ea1

a3b1fed35be594c59c3bb230a80b0cc264f72ab210ba749fd37723dda1f35ea1

{
 "confidenceScore": 50,
 "dataQualityScore": 16,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu0bb60g007yr6wnybb2fsrg",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.87,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtuypt4w001zr6p7pynzmr98",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-13T21:12:52.869Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.535537,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000566",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-13T21:12:52.869Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 53.6% · DRAW 25.9% · AWAY 20.5%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: global
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-13 21:12Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-13 21:12Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000566

1X2 · HOME · 53.6% · confidence 53 · reason: Market price update

בוטל

Fair price: 1.87
Market price: 1.80
Probability gap: 2 percentage points
Generated: Mon 14 Sept · 18:08 UTC
Published: Mon 14 Sept · 18:08 UTC
Locked: —
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordMon 14 Sept · 18:08 UTCeefc8…53a2

eefc8a5d3c2ac23be88caa2d6e2c270a260719110a2dc46162ceda0bb17d53a2

{
 "confidenceScore": 53,
 "dataQualityScore": 31,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu1k66xm0088r62ikwrciats",
 "edge": 0.020482,
 "fairOdds": 1.87,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtuypt4w001zr6p7pynzmr98",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-14T18:08:51.295Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.8,
 "modelProbability": 0.535537,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000566.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000566",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T18:08:51.295Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 53.6% · DRAW 25.9% · AWAY 20.5%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: global
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-14 18:08Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-14 18:08Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.80
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000566.v2

1X2 · HOME · 53.6% · confidence 53 · reason: Market price update

פגיעה

Fair price: 1.87
Market price: 1.75
Probability gap: 0.1 percentage points
Generated: Tue 15 Sept · 18:08 UTC
Published: Tue 15 Sept · 18:08 UTC
Locked: —
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordTue 15 Sept · 18:08 UTC06038…2681

060382a795a002d5f8a2cff99da582ae6c0bd9acf4463f6fd1ef002967cf2681

{
 "confidenceScore": 53,
 "dataQualityScore": 31,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu2zlqbx005kr6ruqv55jow1",
 "edge": -0.000545,
 "fairOdds": 1.87,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtuypt4w001zr6p7pynzmr98",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-15T18:08:50.298Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.75,
 "modelProbability": 0.535537,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000566.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000566.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-15T18:08:50.298Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 53.6% · DRAW 25.9% · AWAY 20.5%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: global
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-15 18:08Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-15 18:08Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H48_72
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.75
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.