PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000568

MQ-000568

Sociedad v Bournemouth · UEFA Europa League · Thu 17 Sept · 19:00 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

OU25 · OVER · 64.8% · confidence 91

בוטל

Fair price: 1.54
Market price: —
Probability gap: No market price to compare against.
Generated: Sun 13 Sept · 21:12 UTC
Published: Sun 13 Sept · 21:12 UTC
Locked: —
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSun 13 Sept · 21:12 UTCb04a2…7d01

b04a206d80c88051a6d9a04fc95e5287bee5b5dd29763b8088d3121c57017d01

{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 65,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu0bb953008mr6wnj8owsxs7",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.54,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtuypshb001sr6p7p8r4qrh6",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-13T21:12:52.869Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.648003,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000568",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-13T21:12:52.869Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: OVER 64.8% · UNDER 35.2%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: global
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-13 21:12Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-13 21:12Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000568

OU25 · OVER · 64.2% · confidence 91 · reason: Market price update

בוטל

Fair price: 1.56
Market price: 1.73
Probability gap: 9.4 percentage points
Generated: Mon 14 Sept · 18:08 UTC
Published: Mon 14 Sept · 18:08 UTC
Locked: —
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordMon 14 Sept · 18:08 UTC175d9…5cb7

175d9896edab3cc07f7514deb8539eafa3a32d033c6bcc39cffe655e86965cb7

{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu1k69at008yr62id8l1alrh",
 "edge": 0.094037,
 "fairOdds": 1.56,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtuypshb001sr6p7p8r4qrh6",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-14T18:08:51.295Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.73,
 "modelProbability": 0.64234,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000568.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000568",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-14T18:08:51.295Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: OVER 64.2% · UNDER 35.8%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: global
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-14 18:08Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-14 18:08Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.73
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000568.v2

OU25 · OVER · 63.2% · confidence 76 · reason: Model refresh

פגיעה

Fair price: 1.58
Market price: 1.73
Probability gap: 8.4 percentage points
Generated: Wed 16 Sept · 06:09 UTC
Published: Wed 16 Sept · 06:09 UTC
Locked: —
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordWed 16 Sept · 06:09 UTCf1325…ca34

f13254d36890d9cec5f5a1cedddc6940fbac8c22ac1d70e6b04606f3b262ca34

{
 "confidenceScore": 76,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu3pc4fz004cr6kzdd8jz9cv",
 "edge": 0.083949,
 "fairOdds": 1.58,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtuypshb001sr6p7p8r4qrh6",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-16T06:09:13.902Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.73,
 "modelProbability": 0.632252,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000568.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000568.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-16T06:09:13.902Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: OVER 63.2% · UNDER 36.8%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: global
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-16 06:09Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-16 06:09Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H24_48
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.73
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.