MQ-000581
Espanol v Elche · La Liga · Fri 18 Sept · 19:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.89
- Market price
- 1.85
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 1.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Mon 14 Sept · 21:11 UTC
- Published
- Mon 14 Sept · 21:11 UTC
- Locked
- —
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordMon 14 Sept · 21:11 UTC9a559…0b53
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu1qprgb00a8r6jcxu69nfe7",
"edge": 0.017795,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtl6db005kr6dtehswsjf2",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-14T21:11:52.312Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.85,
"modelProbability": 0.529268,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000581",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-14T21:11:52.312Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 52.9% · DRAW 26.8% · AWAY 20.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-14 21:11Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-14 21:11Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.85
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000581
- Fair price
- 2.07
- Market price
- 1.85
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 16 Sept · 03:14 UTC
- Published
- Wed 16 Sept · 03:14 UTC
- Locked
- —
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 16 Sept · 03:14 UTC4eb25…8e91
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu3j4185004kr6w9j84s8tbk",
"edge": -0.028049,
"fairOdds": 2.07,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtl6db005kr6dtehswsjf2",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T03:14:58.843Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.85,
"modelProbability": 0.482266,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000581.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000581",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-16T03:14:58.843Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 48.2% · DRAW 26.9% · AWAY 24.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-16 03:14Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-16 03:14Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.85
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.