MQ-000593
Bologna v Torino · Serie A · Sat 19 Sept · 13:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.89
- Market price
- 1.93
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 3.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 15 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Published
- Tue 15 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 19 Sept · 11:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 15 Sept · 18:08 UTCbdeb9…0094
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu2zmqs5009or6rut1xrfngh",
"edge": 0.03811,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtlgds0074r6dt2yat6wfb",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-15T18:08:50.298Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.93,
"modelProbability": 0.529268,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000593",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-15T18:08:50.298Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 11:02 UTCf2d58…5be9
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu2zmqs5009or6rut1xrfngh",
"edge": 0.03811,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtlgds0074r6dt2yat6wfb",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-15T18:08:50.298Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.93,
"modelProbability": 0.529268,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000593",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T11:02:00.822Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 52.9% · DRAW 26.8% · AWAY 20.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-15 18:08Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-15 18:08Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.93
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000593
- Fair price
- 1.96
- Market price
- 1.94
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2.2 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 16 Sept · 09:12 UTC
- Published
- Wed 16 Sept · 09:12 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 19 Sept · 11:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 16 Sept · 09:12 UTCf8990…4a4d
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu3vxysy006mr6qnrmh2jemn",
"edge": 0.021781,
"fairOdds": 1.96,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtlgds0074r6dt2yat6wfb",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T09:12:18.570Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.94,
"modelProbability": 0.510212,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000593.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000593",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-16T09:12:18.570Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 11:02 UTC4d445…94b5
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu3vxysy006mr6qnrmh2jemn",
"edge": 0.021781,
"fairOdds": 1.96,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtlgds0074r6dt2yat6wfb",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T09:12:18.570Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.94,
"modelProbability": 0.510212,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000593.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000593",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T11:02:00.822Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 51.0% · DRAW 28.5% · AWAY 20.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-16 09:12Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-16 09:12Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.94
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000593.v2
- Fair price
- 2.04
- Market price
- 1.94
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 0 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 19 Sept · 09:10 UTC
- Published
- Sat 19 Sept · 09:10 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 19 Sept · 11:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 19 Sept · 09:10 UTC89812…562d
{
"confidenceScore": 94,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu863szk000yr60ntkdkx970",
"edge": -0.000025,
"fairOdds": 2.04,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtlgds0074r6dt2yat6wfb",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-19T09:10:32.294Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.94,
"modelProbability": 0.489812,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000593.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000593.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T09:10:32.294Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 11:02 UTC433fa…121f
{
"confidenceScore": 94,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu863szk000yr60ntkdkx970",
"edge": -0.000025,
"fairOdds": 2.04,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtlgds0074r6dt2yat6wfb",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-19T09:10:32.294Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.94,
"modelProbability": 0.489812,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000593.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000593.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T11:02:00.822Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 49.0% · DRAW 27.4% · AWAY 23.7%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-19 09:10Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-19 09:10Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H1_6
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.94
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.