MQ-000606
M'gladbach v Mainz · Bundesliga · Sat 19 Sept · 13:30 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.72
- Market price
- 1.54
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 3.4 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 15 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Published
- Tue 15 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 19 Sept · 11:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 15 Sept · 18:08 UTC158a5…380f
{
"confidenceScore": 87,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu2znftm00h0r6ruai4gk489",
"edge": -0.03392,
"fairOdds": 1.72,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtlpvw008mr6dt836ze0ch",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-15T18:08:50.298Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.54,
"modelProbability": 0.580115,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000606",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-15T18:08:50.298Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 11:32 UTC69de2…4426
{
"confidenceScore": 87,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu2znftm00h0r6ruai4gk489",
"edge": -0.03392,
"fairOdds": 1.72,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtlpvw008mr6dt836ze0ch",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-15T18:08:50.298Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.54,
"modelProbability": 0.580115,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000606",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T11:32:04.916Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 58.0% · UNDER 42.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-15 18:08Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-15 18:08Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.54
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000606
- Fair price
- 1.73
- Market price
- 1.46
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 6.9 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 19 Sept · 09:10 UTC
- Published
- Sat 19 Sept · 09:10 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 19 Sept · 11:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 19 Sept · 09:10 UTC7a9fb…635a
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu864twh0038r60nb05j53tg",
"edge": -0.069412,
"fairOdds": 1.73,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtlpvw008mr6dt836ze0ch",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-19T09:10:32.294Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.46,
"modelProbability": 0.577077,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000606.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000606",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T09:10:32.294Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 11:32 UTC8323e…3b17
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu864twh0038r60nb05j53tg",
"edge": -0.069412,
"fairOdds": 1.73,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtlpvw008mr6dt836ze0ch",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-19T09:10:32.294Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.46,
"modelProbability": 0.577077,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000606.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000606",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T11:32:04.916Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 57.7% · UNDER 42.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-19 09:10Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-19 09:10Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H1_6
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.46
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.