PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000624

MQ-000624

Roma v Inter · Serie A · Sat 19 Sept · 16:00 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

1X2 · HOME · 38.7% · confidence 75

בוטל

Fair price: 2.58
Market price: 2.67
Probability gap: 3.2 percentage points
Generated: Tue 15 Sept · 18:08 UTC
Published: Tue 15 Sept · 18:08 UTC
Locked: Sat 19 Sept · 14:02 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordTue 15 Sept · 18:08 UTC70059…0468

7005944a9fe72338568ab7bd67d8fef9c7e235a2bbe558a1500019eb64c00468

{
 "confidenceScore": 75,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu2zojoe00s4r6ruvidjwszu",
 "edge": 0.032167,
 "fairOdds": 2.58,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtxtlhli007gr6dt6pbc6qz4",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-15T18:08:50.298Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.67,
 "modelProbability": 0.387333,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000624",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-15T18:08:50.298Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 14:02 UTC93a19…eda8

93a190739946d7ef9bb899a3f91256ae399f582adb32f70d4ab533d5b286eda8

{
 "confidenceScore": 75,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu2zojoe00s4r6ruvidjwszu",
 "edge": 0.032167,
 "fairOdds": 2.58,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtxtlhli007gr6dt6pbc6qz4",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-15T18:08:50.298Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.67,
 "modelProbability": 0.387333,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000624",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-19T14:02:05.925Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 38.7% · DRAW 25.2% · AWAY 36.1%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-15 18:08Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-15 18:08Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.67
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000624

1X2 · HOME · 41.3% · confidence 76 · reason: Model refresh

החטאה

Fair price: 2.42
Market price: 2.67
Probability gap: 5.7 percentage points
Generated: Wed 16 Sept · 00:08 UTC
Published: Wed 16 Sept · 00:08 UTC
Locked: Sat 19 Sept · 14:02 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordWed 16 Sept · 00:08 UTC24640…4cb1

246403c4ab06e026e853ffc5360fcc10cea5ad28284983256ba5e3c8ea5a4cb1

{
 "confidenceScore": 76,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu3ch2bx007ur6zc95iwwhyq",
 "edge": 0.057463,
 "fairOdds": 2.42,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtxtlhli007gr6dt6pbc6qz4",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-16T00:08:20.650Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.67,
 "modelProbability": 0.412629,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000624.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000624",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-16T00:08:20.650Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 14:02 UTCf80bd…c0ea

f80bdc36d1373e92106d361c15b638c76f4ae02ef5b8b7b02634c8cc265ac0ea

{
 "confidenceScore": 76,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu3ch2bx007ur6zc95iwwhyq",
 "edge": 0.057463,
 "fairOdds": 2.42,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtxtlhli007gr6dt6pbc6qz4",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-16T00:08:20.650Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.67,
 "modelProbability": 0.412629,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000624.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000624",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-19T14:02:05.925Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 41.3% · DRAW 25.9% · AWAY 32.9%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-16 00:08Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-16 00:08Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.67
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.