MQ-000625
Roma v Inter · Serie A · Sat 19 Sept · 16:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.66
- Market price
- 1.65
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 15 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Published
- Tue 15 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 19 Sept · 14:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 15 Sept · 18:08 UTCba63a…7802
{
"confidenceScore": 75,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu2zojoe00s4r6ruvidjwszu",
"edge": 0.028011,
"fairOdds": 1.66,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtlhli007gr6dt6pbc6qz4",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-15T18:08:50.298Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.65,
"modelProbability": 0.601654,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000625",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-15T18:08:50.298Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 14:02 UTC81c6a…1f84
{
"confidenceScore": 75,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu2zojoe00s4r6ruvidjwszu",
"edge": 0.028011,
"fairOdds": 1.66,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtlhli007gr6dt6pbc6qz4",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-15T18:08:50.298Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.65,
"modelProbability": 0.601654,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000625",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T14:02:05.925Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 60.2% · UNDER 39.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-15 18:08Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-15 18:08Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.65
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000625
- Fair price
- 1.67
- Market price
- 1.57
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 0 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 19 Sept · 09:10 UTC
- Published
- Sat 19 Sept · 09:10 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 19 Sept · 14:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 19 Sept · 09:10 UTC16ae7…eb2e
{
"confidenceScore": 76,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu866hiw006yr60n1l3zj6vj",
"edge": -0.000319,
"fairOdds": 1.67,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtlhli007gr6dt6pbc6qz4",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-19T09:10:32.294Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.57,
"modelProbability": 0.598146,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000625.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000625",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T09:10:32.294Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 14:02 UTCd03b4…b9f0
{
"confidenceScore": 76,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu866hiw006yr60n1l3zj6vj",
"edge": -0.000319,
"fairOdds": 1.67,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtlhli007gr6dt6pbc6qz4",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-19T09:10:32.294Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.57,
"modelProbability": 0.598146,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000625.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000625",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T14:02:05.925Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 59.8% · UNDER 40.2%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-19 09:10Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-19 09:10Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.57
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.