MQ-000632
Hapoel Beer Sheva v Ironi Kiryat Shmona · Israeli Premier League · Sat 19 Sept · 17:15 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.67
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Tue 15 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Published
- Tue 15 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 19 Sept · 15:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 15 Sept · 18:08 UTC32f10…2f65
{
"confidenceScore": 79,
"dataQualityScore": 42,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu2zp3ng00wwr6ru1nc414tf",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.67,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtiw4q001lr6dtdewzwzcs",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-15T18:08:50.298Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.598999,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000632",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-15T18:08:50.298Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 15:02 UTC3d8f7…9678
{
"confidenceScore": 79,
"dataQualityScore": 42,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu2zp3ng00wwr6ru1nc414tf",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.67,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtiw4q001lr6dtdewzwzcs",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-15T18:08:50.298Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.598999,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000632",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T15:02:05.813Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 59.9% · DRAW 23.3% · AWAY 16.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-15 18:08Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-15 18:08Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000632
- Fair price
- 1.56
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Wed 16 Sept · 06:09 UTC
- Published
- Wed 16 Sept · 06:09 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 19 Sept · 15:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 16 Sept · 06:09 UTC47063…c97e
{
"confidenceScore": 79,
"dataQualityScore": 42,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu3peqki00d2r6kztd4jikp7",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.56,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtiw4q001lr6dtdewzwzcs",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T06:09:13.902Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.641422,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000632.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000632",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-16T06:09:13.902Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 15:02 UTC8192d…e4e7
{
"confidenceScore": 79,
"dataQualityScore": 42,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu3peqki00d2r6kztd4jikp7",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.56,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtiw4q001lr6dtdewzwzcs",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T06:09:13.902Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.641422,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000632.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000632",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T15:02:05.813Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 64.1% · DRAW 20.0% · AWAY 15.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-16 06:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-16 06:09Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000632.v2
- Fair price
- 1.56
- Market price
- 1.36
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 1.3 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 16 Sept · 18:09 UTC
- Published
- Wed 16 Sept · 18:09 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 19 Sept · 15:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 16 Sept · 18:09 UTCe3b90…646e
{
"confidenceScore": 84,
"dataQualityScore": 57,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu4f38fl0086r6ly08mx4o22",
"edge": -0.012648,
"fairOdds": 1.56,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtiw4q001lr6dtdewzwzcs",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T18:09:07.723Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.36,
"modelProbability": 0.641422,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000632.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000632.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-16T18:09:07.723Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 15:02 UTC998ff…a25a
{
"confidenceScore": 84,
"dataQualityScore": 57,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu4f38fl0086r6ly08mx4o22",
"edge": -0.012648,
"fairOdds": 1.56,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtiw4q001lr6dtdewzwzcs",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T18:09:07.723Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.36,
"modelProbability": 0.641422,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000632.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000632.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T15:02:05.813Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 64.1% · DRAW 20.0% · AWAY 15.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-16 18:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-16 18:09Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.36
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.