MQ-000633
Hapoel Beer Sheva v Ironi Kiryat Shmona · Israeli Premier League · Sat 19 Sept · 17:15 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.48
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Tue 15 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Published
- Tue 15 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 19 Sept · 15:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 15 Sept · 18:08 UTC683fa…b3a2
{
"confidenceScore": 79,
"dataQualityScore": 42,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu2zp3ng00wwr6ru1nc414tf",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.48,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtiw4q001lr6dtdewzwzcs",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-15T18:08:50.298Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.677945,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000633",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-15T18:08:50.298Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 15:02 UTCa1eec…67fe
{
"confidenceScore": 79,
"dataQualityScore": 42,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu2zp3ng00wwr6ru1nc414tf",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.48,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtiw4q001lr6dtdewzwzcs",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-15T18:08:50.298Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.677945,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000633",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T15:02:05.813Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 67.8% · UNDER 32.2%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-15 18:08Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-15 18:08Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000633
- Fair price
- 1.44
- Market price
- 1.48
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 5.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 16 Sept · 18:09 UTC
- Published
- Wed 16 Sept · 18:09 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 19 Sept · 15:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 16 Sept · 18:09 UTC5f229…d938
{
"confidenceScore": 84,
"dataQualityScore": 57,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu4f38fl0086r6ly08mx4o22",
"edge": 0.057221,
"fairOdds": 1.44,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtiw4q001lr6dtdewzwzcs",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T18:09:07.723Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.48,
"modelProbability": 0.694476,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000633.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000633",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-16T18:09:07.723Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 15:02 UTC82a33…2c73
{
"confidenceScore": 84,
"dataQualityScore": 57,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu4f38fl0086r6ly08mx4o22",
"edge": 0.057221,
"fairOdds": 1.44,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtiw4q001lr6dtdewzwzcs",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T18:09:07.723Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.48,
"modelProbability": 0.694476,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000633.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000633",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T15:02:05.813Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 69.4% · UNDER 30.6%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-16 18:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-16 18:09Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.48
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000633.v2
- Fair price
- 1.44
- Market price
- 1.57
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 9.5 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 19 Sept · 09:10 UTC
- Published
- Sat 19 Sept · 09:10 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 19 Sept · 15:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 19 Sept · 09:10 UTC56fba…a11f
{
"confidenceScore": 84,
"dataQualityScore": 59,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu867etb009qr60n9maocx6q",
"edge": 0.094504,
"fairOdds": 1.44,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtiw4q001lr6dtdewzwzcs",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-19T09:10:32.294Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.57,
"modelProbability": 0.693994,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000633.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000633.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T09:10:32.294Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 15:02 UTC4e12f…d896
{
"confidenceScore": 84,
"dataQualityScore": 59,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu867etb009qr60n9maocx6q",
"edge": 0.094504,
"fairOdds": 1.44,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtiw4q001lr6dtdewzwzcs",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-19T09:10:32.294Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.57,
"modelProbability": 0.693994,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000633.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000633.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T15:02:05.813Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 69.4% · UNDER 30.6%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-19 09:10Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-19 09:10Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.57
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.