MQ-000636
Beitar Jerusalem v Hapoel Haifa · Israeli Premier League · Sat 19 Sept · 17:30 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.87
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Tue 15 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Published
- Tue 15 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 19 Sept · 15:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 15 Sept · 18:08 UTC0bce7…862c
{
"confidenceScore": 81,
"dataQualityScore": 42,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu2zp9if00yqr6ru06hpn1gl",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.87,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtiws8001rr6dtknunlbj9",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-15T18:08:50.298Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.534647,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000636",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-15T18:08:50.298Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 15:02 UTC3c1b0…2a06
{
"confidenceScore": 81,
"dataQualityScore": 42,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu2zp9if00yqr6ru06hpn1gl",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.87,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtiws8001rr6dtknunlbj9",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-15T18:08:50.298Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.534647,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000636",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T15:02:05.813Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 53.5% · UNDER 46.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-15 18:08Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-15 18:08Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000636
- Fair price
- 1.84
- Market price
- 1.62
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 3.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 16 Sept · 18:09 UTC
- Published
- Wed 16 Sept · 18:09 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 19 Sept · 15:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 16 Sept · 18:09 UTCd8986…0027
{
"confidenceScore": 83,
"dataQualityScore": 57,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu4f3c4p009cr6lyzrkuy856",
"edge": -0.03823,
"fairOdds": 1.84,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtiws8001rr6dtknunlbj9",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T18:09:07.723Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.62,
"modelProbability": 0.543165,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000636.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000636",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-16T18:09:07.723Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 15:02 UTCddadc…998d
{
"confidenceScore": 83,
"dataQualityScore": 57,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu4f3c4p009cr6lyzrkuy856",
"edge": -0.03823,
"fairOdds": 1.84,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtiws8001rr6dtknunlbj9",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T18:09:07.723Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.62,
"modelProbability": 0.543165,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000636.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000636",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T15:02:05.813Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 54.3% · UNDER 45.7%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-16 18:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-16 18:09Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.62
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000636.v2
- Fair price
- 1.84
- Market price
- 1.53
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 6.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Thu 17 Sept · 12:40 UTC
- Published
- Thu 17 Sept · 12:40 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 19 Sept · 15:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 17 Sept · 12:40 UTC77846…aaa9
{
"confidenceScore": 83,
"dataQualityScore": 57,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu5iujoj00a8r6fxy9o9j1da",
"edge": -0.067457,
"fairOdds": 1.84,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtiws8001rr6dtknunlbj9",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-17T12:40:09.042Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.53,
"modelProbability": 0.54323,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000636.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000636.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-17T12:40:09.042Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 15:02 UTC1c97d…031e
{
"confidenceScore": 83,
"dataQualityScore": 57,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu5iujoj00a8r6fxy9o9j1da",
"edge": -0.067457,
"fairOdds": 1.84,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtiws8001rr6dtknunlbj9",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-17T12:40:09.042Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.53,
"modelProbability": 0.54323,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000636.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000636.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T15:02:05.813Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 54.3% · UNDER 45.7%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-17 12:40Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-17 12:40Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.53
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.