MQ-000639
Maccabi Haifa v Ironi Tiberias · Israeli Premier League · Sat 19 Sept · 17:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.68
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Tue 15 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Published
- Tue 15 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 19 Sept · 15:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 15 Sept · 18:08 UTC9d27f…1443
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 41,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu2zpf8b010kr6ru0yqchcgp",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.68,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtixe8001xr6dtfasmr38n",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-15T18:08:50.298Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.593914,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000639",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-15T18:08:50.298Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 15:02 UTCda0fd…7ccd
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 41,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu2zpf8b010kr6ru0yqchcgp",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.68,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtixe8001xr6dtfasmr38n",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-15T18:08:50.298Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.593914,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000639",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T15:02:05.813Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 59.4% · UNDER 40.6%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-15 18:08Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-15 18:08Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000639
- Fair price
- 1.63
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Wed 16 Sept · 06:09 UTC
- Published
- Wed 16 Sept · 06:09 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 19 Sept · 15:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 16 Sept · 06:09 UTC5039d…b6b9
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 42,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu3pevhi00eir6kzo6v27a4w",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.63,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtixe8001xr6dtfasmr38n",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T06:09:13.902Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.611984,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000639.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000639",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-16T06:09:13.902Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 15:02 UTC36036…c17d
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 42,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu3pevhi00eir6kzo6v27a4w",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.63,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtixe8001xr6dtfasmr38n",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T06:09:13.902Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.611984,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000639.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000639",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T15:02:05.813Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 61.2% · UNDER 38.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-16 06:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-16 06:09Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000639.v2
- Fair price
- 1.63
- Market price
- 1.53
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 0.1 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 16 Sept · 18:09 UTC
- Published
- Wed 16 Sept · 18:09 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 19 Sept · 15:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 16 Sept · 18:09 UTCb8938…f413
{
"confidenceScore": 83,
"dataQualityScore": 57,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu4f3fm500amr6lyluplyu4z",
"edge": 0.001262,
"fairOdds": 1.63,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtixe8001xr6dtfasmr38n",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T18:09:07.723Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.53,
"modelProbability": 0.611949,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000639.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000639.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-16T18:09:07.723Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 15:02 UTCff26f…e221
{
"confidenceScore": 83,
"dataQualityScore": 57,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu4f3fm500amr6lyluplyu4z",
"edge": 0.001262,
"fairOdds": 1.63,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtixe8001xr6dtfasmr38n",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T18:09:07.723Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.53,
"modelProbability": 0.611949,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000639.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000639.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T15:02:05.813Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 61.2% · UNDER 38.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-16 18:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-16 18:09Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.53
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.