MQ-000644
Hapoel Tel Aviv v Hapoel Petah Tikva · Israeli Premier League · Fri 18 Sept · 12:45 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.74
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Tue 15 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Published
- Tue 15 Sept · 18:08 UTC
- Locked
- —
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 15 Sept · 18:08 UTC0b8d6…314c
{
"confidenceScore": 82,
"dataQualityScore": 41,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu2zpr40013ar6ruzjh8ve13",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.74,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtiz6a002fr6dt09zue2xa",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-15T18:08:50.298Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.575209,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000644",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-15T18:08:50.298Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 42.5% · UNDER 57.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-15 18:08Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-15 18:08Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000644
- Fair price
- 1.73
- Market price
- 2.08
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 12.3 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 16 Sept · 06:09 UTC
- Published
- Wed 16 Sept · 06:09 UTC
- Locked
- —
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 16 Sept · 06:09 UTCd62dc…d7fc
{
"confidenceScore": 84,
"dataQualityScore": 56,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu3pceua005gr6kz3arlh7h0",
"edge": 0.122798,
"fairOdds": 1.73,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtiz6a002fr6dt09zue2xa",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T06:09:13.902Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2.08,
"modelProbability": 0.576866,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000644.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000644",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-16T06:09:13.902Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 42.3% · UNDER 57.7%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-16 06:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-16 06:09Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.08
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.