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PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000652

MQ-000652

Toulouse v Le Havre · Ligue 1 · Sat 19 Sept · 18:45 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

BTTS · YES · 51.9% · confidence 93
בוטל
Fair price
1.93
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Tue 15 Sept · 21:17 UTC
Published
Tue 15 Sept · 21:17 UTC
Locked
Sat 19 Sept · 16:32 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 15 Sept · 21:17 UTC37025…a9c0
37025b3843a3e918abd7ff4e9298adeb100f2925b42c3e2f81b369dfbb00a9c0
{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu36dil300a4r61iyus99cqy",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.93,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtxtlzzy00aar6dtdit0ca6j",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-15T21:17:10.438Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.519461,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000652",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-15T21:17:10.438Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}
Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 16:32 UTC6c710…75fc
6c710fb59b92b9b47bb4c01a2f4de448e784c16cdb47c0c282981eba1ccb75fc
{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu36dil300a4r61iyus99cqy",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.93,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtxtlzzy00aar6dtdit0ca6j",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-15T21:17:10.438Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.519461,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000652",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-19T16:32:00.653Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 51.9% · NO 48.1%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-15 21:17Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-15 21:17Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H72_PLUS
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000652

BTTS · YES · 53.0% · confidence 93 · reason: Model refresh
פגיעה
Fair price
1.89
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sat 19 Sept · 09:10 UTC
Published
Sat 19 Sept · 09:10 UTC
Locked
Sat 19 Sept · 16:32 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 19 Sept · 09:10 UTCbd440…6cb9
bd4400150b4040592c523733fc827793cf539ee296ad2d5aac9d4d76ed6d6cb9
{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu868apo00bwr60nu316yw9q",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.89,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtxtlzzy00aar6dtdit0ca6j",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-19T09:10:32.294Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.529848,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000652.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000652",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-19T09:10:32.294Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}
Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 16:32 UTC13756…355c
13756ee90700e7b12c3dde636513478fea2824b5d956c8c94ad54d7b38fb355c
{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu868apo00bwr60nu316yw9q",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.89,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtxtlzzy00aar6dtdit0ca6j",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-19T09:10:32.294Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.529848,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000652.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000652",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-19T16:32:00.653Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 53.0% · NO 47.0%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-19 09:10Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-19 09:10Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H6_12
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.