MQ-000654
Lyon v Rennes · Ligue 1 · Sat 19 Sept · 18:45 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 2.04
- Market price
- 2.08
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 3.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 15 Sept · 21:17 UTC
- Published
- Tue 15 Sept · 21:17 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 19 Sept · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 15 Sept · 21:17 UTC10d59…23c5
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu36drad00cir61icaiokxmz",
"edge": 0.036634,
"fairOdds": 2.04,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtm19f00amr6dtr3rwa3wy",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-15T21:17:10.438Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.08,
"modelProbability": 0.489257,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000654",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-15T21:17:10.438Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 16:32 UTC666aa…cc66
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu36drad00cir61icaiokxmz",
"edge": 0.036634,
"fairOdds": 2.04,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtm19f00amr6dtr3rwa3wy",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-15T21:17:10.438Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.08,
"modelProbability": 0.489257,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000654",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T16:32:00.653Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 48.9% · DRAW 25.9% · AWAY 25.2%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-15 21:17Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-15 21:17Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.08
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.