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PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000655

MQ-000655

Lyon v Rennes · Ligue 1 · Sat 19 Sept · 18:45 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

OU25 · OVER · 61.2% · confidence 92
פגיעה
Fair price
1.63
Market price
1.50
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
0.9 percentage points
Generated
Tue 15 Sept · 21:17 UTC
Published
Tue 15 Sept · 21:17 UTC
Locked
Sat 19 Sept · 16:32 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 15 Sept · 21:17 UTC06b65…9f80
06b65692b759269f313d37ff43c32e52a28f79157d9e56c48a631df4c0449f80
{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu36drad00cir61icaiokxmz",
 "edge": -0.008522,
 "fairOdds": 1.63,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtxtm19f00amr6dtr3rwa3wy",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-15T21:17:10.438Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.5,
 "modelProbability": 0.611731,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000655",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-15T21:17:10.438Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}
Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 16:32 UTC2a9b7…e315
2a9b7a6ee79850f4c95cdddb7a3b61cd83f87ecc4fb091ca77064340a05ee315
{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu36drad00cir61icaiokxmz",
 "edge": -0.008522,
 "fairOdds": 1.63,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtxtm19f00amr6dtr3rwa3wy",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-15T21:17:10.438Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.5,
 "modelProbability": 0.611731,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000655",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-19T16:32:00.653Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 61.2% · UNDER 38.8%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-15 21:17Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-15 21:17Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H72_PLUS
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
1.50
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.