MQ-000657
Venezia v Lazio · Serie A · Sat 19 Sept · 18:45 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.98
- Market price
- 1.99
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2.9 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 15 Sept · 21:17 UTC
- Published
- Tue 15 Sept · 21:17 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 19 Sept · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 15 Sept · 21:17 UTCd61fe…a09a
{
"confidenceScore": 84,
"dataQualityScore": 63,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu36dww800ecr61i4i2jj9vb",
"edge": 0.029389,
"fairOdds": 1.98,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtli5f007mr6dt89iz82zx",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-15T21:17:10.438Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.99,
"modelProbability": 0.505302,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000657",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-15T21:17:10.438Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 16:32 UTC2a37f…cbd4
{
"confidenceScore": 84,
"dataQualityScore": 63,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu36dww800ecr61i4i2jj9vb",
"edge": 0.029389,
"fairOdds": 1.98,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtli5f007mr6dt89iz82zx",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-15T21:17:10.438Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.99,
"modelProbability": 0.505302,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000657",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T16:32:00.653Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 21.5% · DRAW 28.0% · AWAY 50.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-15 21:17Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-15 21:17Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.99
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000657
- Fair price
- 1.89
- Market price
- 1.99
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 5.3 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 16 Sept · 09:12 UTC
- Published
- Wed 16 Sept · 09:12 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 19 Sept · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 16 Sept · 09:12 UTCabcab…9236
{
"confidenceScore": 82,
"dataQualityScore": 63,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu3w1i2k00cyr6qnktywn3fh",
"edge": 0.053002,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtli5f007mr6dt89iz82zx",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T09:12:18.570Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.99,
"modelProbability": 0.528559,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000657.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000657",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-16T09:12:18.570Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 16:32 UTC992da…fa40
{
"confidenceScore": 82,
"dataQualityScore": 63,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu3w1i2k00cyr6qnktywn3fh",
"edge": 0.053002,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtli5f007mr6dt89iz82zx",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T09:12:18.570Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.99,
"modelProbability": 0.528559,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000657.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000657",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T16:32:00.653Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 20.4% · DRAW 26.7% · AWAY 52.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-16 09:12Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-16 09:12Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.99
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000657.v2
- Fair price
- 1.84
- Market price
- 2.01
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 6.9 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 19 Sept · 15:10 UTC
- Published
- Sat 19 Sept · 15:10 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 19 Sept · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 19 Sept · 15:10 UTCb6d23…593e
{
"confidenceScore": 84,
"dataQualityScore": 63,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu8j1hxj0032r6nu6kfmer7x",
"edge": 0.069021,
"fairOdds": 1.84,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtli5f007mr6dt89iz82zx",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-19T15:10:30.882Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.01,
"modelProbability": 0.542486,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000657.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000657.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T15:10:30.882Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 16:32 UTC8c1eb…7097
{
"confidenceScore": 84,
"dataQualityScore": 63,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu8j1hxj0032r6nu6kfmer7x",
"edge": 0.069021,
"fairOdds": 1.84,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtli5f007mr6dt89iz82zx",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-19T15:10:30.882Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.01,
"modelProbability": 0.542486,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000657.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000657.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T16:32:00.653Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 19.8% · DRAW 25.9% · AWAY 54.2%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-19 15:10Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-19 15:10Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H1_6
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.01
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.