PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000660

MQ-000660

Sevilla v Barcelona · La Liga · Sat 19 Sept · 19:00 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

1X2 · AWAY · 65.9% · confidence 90

בוטל

Fair price: 1.52
Market price: 1.23
Probability gap: 10.7 percentage points
Generated: Tue 15 Sept · 21:17 UTC
Published: Tue 15 Sept · 21:17 UTC
Locked: Sat 19 Sept · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordTue 15 Sept · 21:17 UTC8185a…7e72

8185a6438ab247a73803e675699f0fc23f170ec6a43c3e2f9ef20094c90e7e72

{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu36e2x700g6r61i9lffmxut",
 "edge": -0.106897,
 "fairOdds": 1.52,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtxtl8qx0068r6dt6dxfhg95",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-15T21:17:10.438Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.23,
 "modelProbability": 0.659259,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000660",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-15T21:17:10.438Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 17:02 UTC0602e…375d

0602ef7eae9fa808f2efd0f0ff56ff638fc88897d0cda389c5b9f6a7c32f375d

{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu36e2x700g6r61i9lffmxut",
 "edge": -0.106897,
 "fairOdds": 1.52,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtxtl8qx0068r6dt6dxfhg95",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-15T21:17:10.438Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.23,
 "modelProbability": 0.659259,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000660",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-19T17:02:04.961Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 8.9% · DRAW 25.2% · AWAY 65.9%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-15 21:17Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-15 21:17Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.23
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000660

1X2 · AWAY · 65.9% · confidence 91 · reason: Market price update

בוטל

Fair price: 1.52
Market price: 1.20
Probability gap: 12.8 percentage points
Generated: Wed 16 Sept · 21:11 UTC
Published: Wed 16 Sept · 21:11 UTC
Locked: Sat 19 Sept · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordWed 16 Sept · 21:11 UTC893b3…fea4

893b3ee87da225cd453303ba764d4522d93490ee10c64fce86d3043ea515fea4

{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu4llnxr00asr6tnjlwutrvz",
 "edge": -0.128492,
 "fairOdds": 1.52,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtxtl8qx0068r6dt6dxfhg95",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-16T21:11:21.017Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.2,
 "modelProbability": 0.659259,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000660.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000660",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-16T21:11:21.017Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 17:02 UTCa68b4…72b8

a68b401371ea73159f12e2201489684081697bcc0a096be94c1ec825b1b672b8

{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu4llnxr00asr6tnjlwutrvz",
 "edge": -0.128492,
 "fairOdds": 1.52,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtxtl8qx0068r6dt6dxfhg95",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-16T21:11:21.017Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.2,
 "modelProbability": 0.659259,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000660.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000660",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-19T17:02:04.961Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 8.9% · DRAW 25.2% · AWAY 65.9%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-16 21:11Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-16 21:11Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H48_72
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.20
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000660.v2

1X2 · AWAY · 65.9% · confidence 91 · reason: Market price update

בוטל

Fair price: 1.52
Market price: 1.25
Probability gap: 10.3 percentage points
Generated: Sat 19 Sept · 09:10 UTC
Published: Sat 19 Sept · 09:10 UTC
Locked: Sat 19 Sept · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSat 19 Sept · 09:10 UTC234ad…0753

234ada252417eb05f085120e9a0a2860992fb649f82a173631a3a23282730753

{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu869c5600emr60njh7pm8zx",
 "edge": -0.103257,
 "fairOdds": 1.52,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtxtl8qx0068r6dt6dxfhg95",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-19T09:10:32.294Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.25,
 "modelProbability": 0.659259,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000660.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000660.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-19T09:10:32.294Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 17:02 UTC36724…d776

36724c138d1922b0cb46f7b7c9dced906e8230be9642ea4f8123f4cec9b1d776

{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu869c5600emr60njh7pm8zx",
 "edge": -0.103257,
 "fairOdds": 1.52,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtxtl8qx0068r6dt6dxfhg95",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-19T09:10:32.294Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.25,
 "modelProbability": 0.659259,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000660.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000660.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-19T17:02:04.961Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 8.9% · DRAW 25.2% · AWAY 65.9%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-19 09:10Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-19 09:10Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H6_12
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.25
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 4 · previous MQ-000660.v3

1X2 · AWAY · 58.7% · confidence 91 · reason: Model refresh

פגיעה

Fair price: 1.70
Market price: 1.25
Probability gap: 17.6 percentage points
Generated: Sat 19 Sept · 12:11 UTC
Published: Sat 19 Sept · 12:11 UTC
Locked: Sat 19 Sept · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSat 19 Sept · 12:11 UTCfb82a…f431

fb82a268c4c8969f143844114dd3a9d2de512be72e1653d22207f36ce9d1f431

{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu8cqg0j005kr6gw43aicfza",
 "edge": -0.176373,
 "fairOdds": 1.7,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtxtl8qx0068r6dt6dxfhg95",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-19T12:11:26.597Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.25,
 "modelProbability": 0.587283,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000660.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000660.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-19T12:11:26.597Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 17:02 UTCa6f32…8b83

a6f3255d6a972e159bc75c39ee18a987a97b1765a74eb1636178d30cad298b83

{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu8cqg0j005kr6gw43aicfza",
 "edge": -0.176373,
 "fairOdds": 1.7,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtxtl8qx0068r6dt6dxfhg95",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-19T12:11:26.597Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.25,
 "modelProbability": 0.587283,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000660.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000660.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-19T17:02:04.961Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 16.0% · DRAW 25.2% · AWAY 58.7%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-09-19 12:11Z
Information cutoff: 2026-09-19 12:11Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H6_12
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.25
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.