MQ-000661
Sevilla v Barcelona · La Liga · Sat 19 Sept · 19:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.70
- Market price
- 1.35
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 10.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 15 Sept · 21:17 UTC
- Published
- Tue 15 Sept · 21:17 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 19 Sept · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 15 Sept · 21:17 UTCa3bc3…c3a5
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu36e2x700g6r61i9lffmxut",
"edge": -0.106785,
"fairOdds": 1.7,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtl8qx0068r6dt6dxfhg95",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-15T21:17:10.438Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.35,
"modelProbability": 0.589844,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000661",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-15T21:17:10.438Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 17:02 UTC48522…1797
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu36e2x700g6r61i9lffmxut",
"edge": -0.106785,
"fairOdds": 1.7,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtl8qx0068r6dt6dxfhg95",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-15T21:17:10.438Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.35,
"modelProbability": 0.589844,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000661",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T17:02:04.961Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 59.0% · UNDER 41.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-15 21:17Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-15 21:17Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.35
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000661
- Fair price
- 1.69
- Market price
- 1.27
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 14.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Thu 17 Sept · 12:40 UTC
- Published
- Thu 17 Sept · 12:40 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 19 Sept · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 17 Sept · 12:40 UTC6582d…3d9e
{
"confidenceScore": 91,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu5ivtl800e0r6fx1kazj9ka",
"edge": -0.147849,
"fairOdds": 1.69,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtl8qx0068r6dt6dxfhg95",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-17T12:40:09.042Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.27,
"modelProbability": 0.590295,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000661.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000661",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-17T12:40:09.042Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 17:02 UTC946e6…c2d4
{
"confidenceScore": 91,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu5ivtl800e0r6fx1kazj9ka",
"edge": -0.147849,
"fairOdds": 1.69,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtl8qx0068r6dt6dxfhg95",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-17T12:40:09.042Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.27,
"modelProbability": 0.590295,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000661.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000661",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T17:02:04.961Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 59.0% · UNDER 41.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-17 12:40Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-17 12:40Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.27
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000661.v2
- Fair price
- 1.68
- Market price
- 1.31
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 12.5 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 19 Sept · 09:10 UTC
- Published
- Sat 19 Sept · 09:10 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 19 Sept · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 19 Sept · 09:10 UTC81d1c…cb2c
{
"confidenceScore": 91,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu869c5600emr60njh7pm8zx",
"edge": -0.125333,
"fairOdds": 1.68,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtl8qx0068r6dt6dxfhg95",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-19T09:10:32.294Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.31,
"modelProbability": 0.595944,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000661.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000661.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T09:10:32.294Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 17:02 UTC20857…8fca
{
"confidenceScore": 91,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu869c5600emr60njh7pm8zx",
"edge": -0.125333,
"fairOdds": 1.68,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtxtl8qx0068r6dt6dxfhg95",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-19T09:10:32.294Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.31,
"modelProbability": 0.595944,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000661.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000661.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T17:02:04.961Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 59.6% · UNDER 40.4%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-19 09:10Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-19 09:10Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.31
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.