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PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000662

MQ-000662

Sevilla v Barcelona · La Liga · Sat 19 Sept · 19:00 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

BTTS · YES · 56.4% · confidence 90
בוטל
Fair price
1.77
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Tue 15 Sept · 21:17 UTC
Published
Tue 15 Sept · 21:17 UTC
Locked
Sat 19 Sept · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 15 Sept · 21:17 UTC46233…d462
4623314c6ac25528797982e5912a413c228248fb23a25d4cc68815e7bee6d462
{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu36e2x700g6r61i9lffmxut",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.77,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtxtl8qx0068r6dt6dxfhg95",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-15T21:17:10.438Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.564498,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000662",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-15T21:17:10.438Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}
Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 17:02 UTCfb230…152f
fb2305e63fcad6b60cd5e5a3513e28221599e59a42496610d17bad9d593b152f
{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu36e2x700g6r61i9lffmxut",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.77,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtxtl8qx0068r6dt6dxfhg95",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-15T21:17:10.438Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.564498,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000662",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-19T17:02:04.961Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 56.4% · NO 43.6%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-15 21:17Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-15 21:17Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H72_PLUS
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000662

BTTS · YES · 59.0% · confidence 91 · reason: Model refresh
פגיעה
Fair price
1.69
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sat 19 Sept · 12:11 UTC
Published
Sat 19 Sept · 12:11 UTC
Locked
Sat 19 Sept · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 19 Sept · 12:11 UTC45bb1…519e
45bb1cca007eff8c6c6b49c559c4101db9402333b1ad8a58ddcb69b78080519e
{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu8cqg0j005kr6gw43aicfza",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.69,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtxtl8qx0068r6dt6dxfhg95",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-19T12:11:26.597Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.590005,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000662.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000662",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-19T12:11:26.597Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}
Lock recordSat 19 Sept · 17:02 UTC84c65…4fc5
84c65960796655418837d202bd1e4fb53b21a91675102f441088c2e5482c4fc5
{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu8cqg0j005kr6gw43aicfza",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.69,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtxtl8qx0068r6dt6dxfhg95",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-19T12:11:26.597Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.590005,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000662.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000662",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-19T17:02:04.961Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 59.0% · NO 41.0%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-19 12:11Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-19 12:11Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H6_12
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.