MQ-000671
Auxerre v Brest · Ligue 1 · Sun 20 Sept · 13:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 2.62
- Market price
- 2.75
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 3.9 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 16 Sept · 15:15 UTC
- Published
- Wed 16 Sept · 15:15 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 20 Sept · 11:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 16 Sept · 15:15 UTCea7a3…e08a
{
"confidenceScore": 74,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu48xjyr00fqr6jjz5zbgkjq",
"edge": 0.039268,
"fairOdds": 2.62,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0ok0d4009qr6lskr8a1l7r",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T15:15:19.043Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.75,
"modelProbability": 0.382014,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000671",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-16T15:15:19.043Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSun 20 Sept · 11:02 UTCec587…68e3
{
"confidenceScore": 74,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu48xjyr00fqr6jjz5zbgkjq",
"edge": 0.039268,
"fairOdds": 2.62,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0ok0d4009qr6lskr8a1l7r",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T15:15:19.043Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.75,
"modelProbability": 0.382014,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000671",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-20T11:02:06.085Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 38.2% · DRAW 28.1% · AWAY 33.7%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-16 15:15Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-16 15:15Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.75
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000671
- Fair price
- 2.51
- Market price
- 2.83
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 6.3 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 19 Sept · 09:10 UTC
- Published
- Sat 19 Sept · 09:10 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 20 Sept · 11:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 19 Sept · 09:10 UTCe2686…1387
{
"confidenceScore": 91,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu86a9lh00i2r60nsxfzaok6",
"edge": 0.063164,
"fairOdds": 2.51,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0ok0d4009qr6lskr8a1l7r",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-19T09:10:32.294Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.83,
"modelProbability": 0.397893,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000671.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000671",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T09:10:32.294Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSun 20 Sept · 11:02 UTC64ba3…7f17
{
"confidenceScore": 91,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu86a9lh00i2r60nsxfzaok6",
"edge": 0.063164,
"fairOdds": 2.51,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0ok0d4009qr6lskr8a1l7r",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-19T09:10:32.294Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.83,
"modelProbability": 0.397893,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000671.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000671",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-20T11:02:06.085Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 39.8% · DRAW 27.3% · AWAY 32.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-19 09:10Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-19 09:10Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.83
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000671.v2
- Fair price
- 2.51
- Market price
- 3.04
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 8.5 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 20 Sept · 09:10 UTC
- Published
- Sun 20 Sept · 09:10 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 20 Sept · 11:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 20 Sept · 09:10 UTC1a43d…3c08
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu9ljvkm000qr6jx71lvvk5c",
"edge": 0.08518,
"fairOdds": 2.51,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0ok0d4009qr6lskr8a1l7r",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-20T09:10:27.031Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 3.04,
"modelProbability": 0.397893,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000671.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000671.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-20T09:10:27.031Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSun 20 Sept · 11:02 UTC2d7d5…178a
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu9ljvkm000qr6jx71lvvk5c",
"edge": 0.08518,
"fairOdds": 2.51,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0ok0d4009qr6lskr8a1l7r",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-20T09:10:27.031Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 3.04,
"modelProbability": 0.397893,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000671.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000671.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-20T11:02:06.085Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 39.8% · DRAW 27.3% · AWAY 32.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-20 09:10Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-20 09:10Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H1_6
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 3.04
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.