MQ-000677
Man City v Sunderland · Premier League · Sun 20 Sept · 13:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.43
- Market price
- 1.29
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 3.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 16 Sept · 15:15 UTC
- Published
- Wed 16 Sept · 15:15 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 20 Sept · 11:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 16 Sept · 15:15 UTCaabbe…257c
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 70,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu48xvnn00j8r6jjcycrvfc0",
"edge": -0.036839,
"fairOdds": 1.43,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0oijil003er6lsnhlmouxy",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T15:15:19.043Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.29,
"modelProbability": 0.699462,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000677",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-16T15:15:19.043Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSun 20 Sept · 11:02 UTCf5b6e…f6b3
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 70,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu48xvnn00j8r6jjcycrvfc0",
"edge": -0.036839,
"fairOdds": 1.43,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0oijil003er6lsnhlmouxy",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T15:15:19.043Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.29,
"modelProbability": 0.699462,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000677",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-20T11:02:06.085Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 69.9% · DRAW 20.8% · AWAY 9.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-16 15:15Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-16 15:15Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.29
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.