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PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000679

MQ-000679

Man City v Sunderland · Premier League · Sun 20 Sept · 13:00 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

BTTS · NO · 52.5% · confidence 88
החטאה
Fair price
1.91
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Wed 16 Sept · 15:15 UTC
Published
Wed 16 Sept · 15:15 UTC
Locked
Sun 20 Sept · 11:02 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 16 Sept · 15:15 UTCceab7…37d9
ceab7f5b403c90cd3ec36bb44e1f8b798d16e8120f77b0c4e9a10f1ff6e937d9
{
 "confidenceScore": 88,
 "dataQualityScore": 70,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu48xvnn00j8r6jjcycrvfc0",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.91,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmu0oijil003er6lsnhlmouxy",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-16T15:15:19.043Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.524683,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000679",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-16T15:15:19.043Z",
 "selection": "NO"
}
Lock recordSun 20 Sept · 11:02 UTC476fe…a95f
476fe24094a9081b9105920cae6e625ed2f9d6405bb51a08e6abd1bb0fcaa95f
{
 "confidenceScore": 88,
 "dataQualityScore": 70,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu48xvnn00j8r6jjcycrvfc0",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.91,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmu0oijil003er6lsnhlmouxy",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-16T15:15:19.043Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.524683,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000679",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-20T11:02:06.085Z",
 "selection": "NO"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 47.5% · NO 52.5%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-16 15:15Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-16 15:15Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H72_PLUS
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.