MQ-000680
Bournemouth v Liverpool · Premier League · Sun 20 Sept · 13:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 2.42
- Market price
- 3.09
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 10.5 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 16 Sept · 15:15 UTC
- Published
- Wed 16 Sept · 15:15 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 20 Sept · 11:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 16 Sept · 15:15 UTCe8493…cbd5
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu48y1iz00l2r6jjpzrv8wxb",
"edge": 0.105378,
"fairOdds": 2.42,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0oii5p0032r6lscq6ulzvo",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T15:15:19.043Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 3.09,
"modelProbability": 0.412629,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000680",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-16T15:15:19.043Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSun 20 Sept · 11:02 UTCb84f1…1262
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu48y1iz00l2r6jjpzrv8wxb",
"edge": 0.105378,
"fairOdds": 2.42,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0oii5p0032r6lscq6ulzvo",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T15:15:19.043Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 3.09,
"modelProbability": 0.412629,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000680",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-20T11:02:06.085Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 41.3% · DRAW 25.9% · AWAY 32.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-16 15:15Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-16 15:15Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 3.09
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000680
- Fair price
- 2.35
- Market price
- 3.14
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 12.1 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 20 Sept · 06:09 UTC
- Published
- Sun 20 Sept · 06:09 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 20 Sept · 11:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 20 Sept · 06:09 UTCac93d…fe6a
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu9f3kyz002gr64m7wnx8w4p",
"edge": 0.120932,
"fairOdds": 2.35,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0oii5p0032r6lscq6ulzvo",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-20T06:09:06.144Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 3.14,
"modelProbability": 0.424979,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000680.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000680",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-20T06:09:06.144Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSun 20 Sept · 11:02 UTC81599…69e4
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu9f3kyz002gr64m7wnx8w4p",
"edge": 0.120932,
"fairOdds": 2.35,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0oii5p0032r6lscq6ulzvo",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-20T06:09:06.144Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 3.14,
"modelProbability": 0.424979,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000680.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000680",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-20T11:02:06.085Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 42.5% · DRAW 26.7% · AWAY 30.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-20 06:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-20 06:09Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 3.14
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.