MQ-000687
Ath Madrid v Real Madrid · La Liga · Sun 20 Sept · 14:15 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.71
- Market price
- 1.44
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 6.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 16 Sept · 15:15 UTC
- Published
- Wed 16 Sept · 15:15 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 20 Sept · 12:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 16 Sept · 15:15 UTC9c972…94b8
{
"confidenceScore": 91,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu48yd5f00oer6jjc3knvysa",
"edge": -0.067543,
"fairOdds": 1.71,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0oj0cx0058r6lsowav4mja",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T15:15:19.043Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.44,
"modelProbability": 0.585469,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000687",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-16T15:15:19.043Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSun 20 Sept · 12:02 UTC22fb6…e2a5
{
"confidenceScore": 91,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu48yd5f00oer6jjc3knvysa",
"edge": -0.067543,
"fairOdds": 1.71,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0oj0cx0058r6lsowav4mja",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T15:15:19.043Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.44,
"modelProbability": 0.585469,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000687",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-20T12:02:05.619Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 58.5% · UNDER 41.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-16 15:15Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-16 15:15Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.44
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000687
- Fair price
- 1.72
- Market price
- 1.55
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2.9 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 20 Sept · 09:10 UTC
- Published
- Sun 20 Sept · 09:10 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 20 Sept · 12:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 20 Sept · 09:10 UTCd1ef3…e0a2
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu9lkvy2002mr6jxgep6dcr6",
"edge": -0.028559,
"fairOdds": 1.72,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0oj0cx0058r6lsowav4mja",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-20T09:10:27.031Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.55,
"modelProbability": 0.581013,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000687.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000687",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-20T09:10:27.031Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSun 20 Sept · 12:02 UTCcf4aa…044d
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu9lkvy2002mr6jxgep6dcr6",
"edge": -0.028559,
"fairOdds": 1.72,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0oj0cx0058r6lsowav4mja",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-20T09:10:27.031Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.55,
"modelProbability": 0.581013,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000687.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000687",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-20T12:02:05.619Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 58.1% · UNDER 41.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-20 09:10Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-20 09:10Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H1_6
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.55
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.