MQ-000690
Nice v Lille · Ligue 1 · Sun 20 Sept · 15:15 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.65
- Market price
- 1.88
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 10.4 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 16 Sept · 15:15 UTC
- Published
- Wed 16 Sept · 15:15 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 20 Sept · 13:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 16 Sept · 15:15 UTCc4fb4…b856
{
"confidenceScore": 87,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu48yjbs00qer6jjraziqk4p",
"edge": 0.103739,
"fairOdds": 1.65,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0ok0ys009wr6ls3ruax3ml",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T15:15:19.043Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.88,
"modelProbability": 0.605065,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000690",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-16T15:15:19.043Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Lock recordSun 20 Sept · 13:02 UTC62d6e…236b
{
"confidenceScore": 87,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu48yjbs00qer6jjraziqk4p",
"edge": 0.103739,
"fairOdds": 1.65,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0ok0ys009wr6ls3ruax3ml",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T15:15:19.043Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.88,
"modelProbability": 0.605065,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000690",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-20T13:02:06.182Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 39.5% · UNDER 60.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-16 15:15Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-16 15:15Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.88
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000690
- Fair price
- 1.66
- Market price
- 1.98
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 12.4 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 20 Sept · 12:09 UTC
- Published
- Sun 20 Sept · 12:09 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 20 Sept · 13:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 20 Sept · 12:09 UTCa642b…0d5e
{
"confidenceScore": 87,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu9rz6k1001yr6si4lbijbl3",
"edge": 0.124034,
"fairOdds": 1.66,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0ok0ys009wr6ls3ruax3ml",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-20T12:09:47.222Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.98,
"modelProbability": 0.601607,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000690.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000690",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-20T12:09:47.222Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Lock recordSun 20 Sept · 13:02 UTCc67bb…de45
{
"confidenceScore": 87,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu9rz6k1001yr6si4lbijbl3",
"edge": 0.124034,
"fairOdds": 1.66,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0ok0ys009wr6ls3ruax3ml",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-20T12:09:47.222Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.98,
"modelProbability": 0.601607,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000690.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000690",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-20T13:02:06.182Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 39.8% · UNDER 60.2%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-20 12:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-20 12:09Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H1_6
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.98
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000690.v2
- Fair price
- 1.66
- Market price
- 2.06
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 14.4 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 20 Sept · 15:08 UTC
- Published
- Sun 20 Sept · 15:08 UTC
- Locked
- —
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 20 Sept · 15:08 UTC318b5…061d
{
"confidenceScore": 91,
"dataQualityScore": 97,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu9yc1vs0002r6sm51a73p5x",
"edge": 0.144291,
"fairOdds": 1.66,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0ok0ys009wr6ls3ruax3ml",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-20T15:08:52.491Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2.06,
"modelProbability": 0.602186,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000690.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000690.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-20T15:08:52.491Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 39.8% · UNDER 60.2%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-20 15:08Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-20 15:08Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H0_1
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.06
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.