MQ-000697
Juventus v Atalanta · Serie A · Sun 20 Sept · 16:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.78
- Market price
- 2.04
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 9.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 16 Sept · 18:09 UTC
- Published
- Wed 16 Sept · 18:09 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 20 Sept · 14:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 16 Sept · 18:09 UTC630f0…e4cf
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu4f53fp00jkr6lymlssctaz",
"edge": 0.098496,
"fairOdds": 1.78,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0oje7r0078r6lszkhzzd8v",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T18:09:07.723Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2.04,
"modelProbability": 0.561654,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000697",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-16T18:09:07.723Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Lock recordSun 20 Sept · 14:02 UTCc5f31…1324
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu4f53fp00jkr6lymlssctaz",
"edge": 0.098496,
"fairOdds": 1.78,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0oje7r0078r6lszkhzzd8v",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T18:09:07.723Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2.04,
"modelProbability": 0.561654,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000697",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-20T14:02:05.886Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 43.8% · UNDER 56.2%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-16 18:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-16 18:09Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.04
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000697
- Fair price
- 1.77
- Market price
- 1.95
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 7.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 19 Sept · 09:10 UTC
- Published
- Sat 19 Sept · 09:10 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 20 Sept · 14:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 19 Sept · 09:10 UTC0f7ae…60c2
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu86c0ie00myr60nod3p5r2b",
"edge": 0.077045,
"fairOdds": 1.77,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0oje7r0078r6lszkhzzd8v",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-19T09:10:32.294Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.95,
"modelProbability": 0.563887,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000697.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000697",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T09:10:32.294Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Lock recordSun 20 Sept · 14:02 UTCf15e9…ba35
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu86c0ie00myr60nod3p5r2b",
"edge": 0.077045,
"fairOdds": 1.77,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0oje7r0078r6lszkhzzd8v",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-19T09:10:32.294Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.95,
"modelProbability": 0.563887,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000697.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000697",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-20T14:02:05.886Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 43.6% · UNDER 56.4%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-19 09:10Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-19 09:10Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.95
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000697.v2
- Fair price
- 1.81
- Market price
- 1.96
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 6.6 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 20 Sept · 06:09 UTC
- Published
- Sun 20 Sept · 06:09 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 20 Sept · 14:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 20 Sept · 06:09 UTC8ebfc…59ec
{
"confidenceScore": 94,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu9f4x44004cr64mopq9gi13",
"edge": 0.066439,
"fairOdds": 1.81,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0oje7r0078r6lszkhzzd8v",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-20T06:09:06.144Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.96,
"modelProbability": 0.552003,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000697.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000697.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-20T06:09:06.144Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Lock recordSun 20 Sept · 14:02 UTC6efa5…f92c
{
"confidenceScore": 94,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu9f4x44004cr64mopq9gi13",
"edge": 0.066439,
"fairOdds": 1.81,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0oje7r0078r6lszkhzzd8v",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-20T06:09:06.144Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.96,
"modelProbability": 0.552003,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000697.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000697.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-20T14:02:05.886Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 44.8% · UNDER 55.2%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-20 06:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-20 06:09Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.96
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.