MQ-000699
La Coruna v Betis · La Liga · Sun 20 Sept · 16:30 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 2.48
- Market price
- 2.82
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 7 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 16 Sept · 18:09 UTC
- Published
- Wed 16 Sept · 18:09 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 20 Sept · 14:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 16 Sept · 18:09 UTCd378c…499f
{
"confidenceScore": 57,
"dataQualityScore": 49,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu4f597600ler6ly2gq7y7zn",
"edge": 0.070389,
"fairOdds": 2.48,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0oj0wv005er6lss5qad5kh",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T18:09:07.723Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.82,
"modelProbability": 0.403747,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000699",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-16T18:09:07.723Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSun 20 Sept · 14:32 UTC83e6e…7968
{
"confidenceScore": 57,
"dataQualityScore": 49,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu4f597600ler6ly2gq7y7zn",
"edge": 0.070389,
"fairOdds": 2.48,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0oj0wv005er6lss5qad5kh",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T18:09:07.723Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.82,
"modelProbability": 0.403747,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000699",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-20T14:32:03.785Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 40.4% · DRAW 26.3% · AWAY 33.4%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-16 18:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-16 18:09Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.82
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000699
- Fair price
- 2.48
- Market price
- 3.48
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 13 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 19 Sept · 09:10 UTC
- Published
- Sat 19 Sept · 09:10 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 20 Sept · 14:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 19 Sept · 09:10 UTCb83a0…3af8
{
"confidenceScore": 57,
"dataQualityScore": 49,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu86c79q00nor60nbbdth2v0",
"edge": 0.130242,
"fairOdds": 2.48,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0oj0wv005er6lss5qad5kh",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-19T09:10:32.294Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 3.48,
"modelProbability": 0.403747,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000699.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000699",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-19T09:10:32.294Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSun 20 Sept · 14:32 UTCdaeaf…e3cd
{
"confidenceScore": 57,
"dataQualityScore": 49,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu86c79q00nor60nbbdth2v0",
"edge": 0.130242,
"fairOdds": 2.48,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0oj0wv005er6lss5qad5kh",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-19T09:10:32.294Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 3.48,
"modelProbability": 0.403747,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000699.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000699",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-20T14:32:03.785Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 40.4% · DRAW 26.3% · AWAY 33.4%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-19 09:10Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-19 09:10Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 3.48
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000699.v2
- Fair price
- 2.66
- Market price
- 2.00
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 9.9 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 20 Sept · 06:09 UTC
- Published
- Sun 20 Sept · 06:09 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 20 Sept · 14:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 20 Sept · 06:09 UTC74c30…7bb2
{
"confidenceScore": 59,
"dataQualityScore": 49,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu9f55lv005qr64my8a91u83",
"edge": -0.099162,
"fairOdds": 2.66,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0oj0wv005er6lss5qad5kh",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-20T06:09:06.144Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2,
"modelProbability": 0.376575,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000699.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000699.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-20T06:09:06.144Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Lock recordSun 20 Sept · 14:32 UTC95e6d…11b3
{
"confidenceScore": 59,
"dataQualityScore": 49,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu9f55lv005qr64my8a91u83",
"edge": -0.099162,
"fairOdds": 2.66,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0oj0wv005er6lss5qad5kh",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-20T06:09:06.144Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2,
"modelProbability": 0.376575,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000699.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000699.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-20T14:32:03.785Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 34.6% · DRAW 27.8% · AWAY 37.7%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-20 06:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-20 06:09Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.00
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.