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PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000702

MQ-000702

Villarreal v Levante · La Liga · Sun 20 Sept · 16:30 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

BTTS · YES · 63.6% · confidence 90
בוטל
Fair price
1.57
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Wed 16 Sept · 18:09 UTC
Published
Wed 16 Sept · 18:09 UTC
Locked
Sun 20 Sept · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 16 Sept · 18:09 UTC365cf…aefb
365cf234569bad49f7d7f11d36b0945dffdaa9676ca3e4da3e44ed1e98b9aefb
{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu4f5ch100m2r6lydo55km3r",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.57,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmu0oj1gs005kr6lsi1jm1csr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-16T18:09:07.723Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.636123,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000702",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-16T18:09:07.723Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}
Lock recordSun 20 Sept · 14:32 UTCbd921…09a4
bd9214105a8e6b384651ce29398de7c91407d24236e1d869f4e7b08ae2ae09a4
{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu4f5ch100m2r6lydo55km3r",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.57,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmu0oj1gs005kr6lsi1jm1csr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-16T18:09:07.723Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.636123,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000702",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-20T14:32:03.785Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 63.6% · NO 36.4%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-16 18:09Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-16 18:09Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H72_PLUS
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000702

BTTS · YES · 64.7% · confidence 90 · reason: Model refresh
פגיעה
Fair price
1.55
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sun 20 Sept · 06:09 UTC
Published
Sun 20 Sept · 06:09 UTC
Locked
Sun 20 Sept · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 20 Sept · 06:09 UTC4a02e…df0a
4a02efd53562a83ad7f1905330bc9f9720b758ff3fc1627a59e0ccf29906df0a
{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu9f5c8d006er64ml1c3rv84",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.55,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmu0oj1gs005kr6lsi1jm1csr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-20T06:09:06.144Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.646702,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000702.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000702",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-20T06:09:06.144Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}
Lock recordSun 20 Sept · 14:32 UTCe9287…e65c
e928772a033c0503fc3fdcd6959cad4ab163bbf95e765d2424154ff00414e65c
{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmu9f5c8d006er64ml1c3rv84",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.55,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmu0oj1gs005kr6lsi1jm1csr",
 "generatedAt": "2026-09-20T06:09:06.144Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.646702,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000702.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000702",
 "publishedAt": "2026-09-20T14:32:03.785Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 64.7% · NO 35.3%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-09-20 06:09Z
Information cutoff
2026-09-20 06:09Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H6_12
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.