MQ-000709
Marseille v Paris SG · Ligue 1 · Sun 20 Sept · 18:45 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.73
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Wed 16 Sept · 21:11 UTC
- Published
- Wed 16 Sept · 21:11 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 20 Sept · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 16 Sept · 21:11 UTC344f2…36d7
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu4lmwfp00g6r6tnro7vv11f",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.73,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0ok1mk00a2r6lsss1bfxzn",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T21:11:21.017Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.578044,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000709",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-16T21:11:21.017Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Lock recordSun 20 Sept · 16:32 UTC6b05d…0e82
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu4lmwfp00g6r6tnro7vv11f",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.73,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0ok1mk00a2r6lsss1bfxzn",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-16T21:11:21.017Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.578044,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000709",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-20T16:32:00.895Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 57.8% · NO 42.2%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-16 21:11Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-16 21:11Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000709
- Fair price
- 1.69
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sun 20 Sept · 06:09 UTC
- Published
- Sun 20 Sept · 06:09 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 20 Sept · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 20 Sept · 06:09 UTC2e4ec…5f90
{
"confidenceScore": 89,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu9f5ysv0080r64mgkcrqm2g",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.69,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0ok1mk00a2r6lsss1bfxzn",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-20T06:09:06.144Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.590373,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000709.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000709",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-20T06:09:06.144Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Lock recordSun 20 Sept · 16:32 UTCd957d…907d
{
"confidenceScore": 89,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmu9f5ysv0080r64mgkcrqm2g",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.69,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmu0ok1mk00a2r6lsss1bfxzn",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-20T06:09:06.144Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.590373,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000709.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000709",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-20T16:32:00.895Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 59.0% · NO 41.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-20 06:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-20 06:09Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.