MQ-000716
Lens v Lyon · Ligue 1 · Fri 9 Oct · 18:45 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 2.12
- Market price
- 2.39
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 7.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 6 Oct · 06:06 UTC
- Published
- Tue 6 Oct · 06:06 UTC
- Locked
- Fri 9 Oct · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 6 Oct · 06:06 UTC044f7…0838
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuwa0nyx001qr692j4sx1jb6",
"edge": 0.076588,
"fairOdds": 2.12,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmuq7axfy02e4i604lqvxinoq",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-06T06:06:48.942Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.39,
"modelProbability": 0.472412,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000716",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-06T06:06:48.942Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordFri 9 Oct · 16:32 UTCcd307…9546
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuwa0nyx001qr692j4sx1jb6",
"edge": 0.076588,
"fairOdds": 2.12,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmuq7axfy02e4i604lqvxinoq",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-06T06:06:48.942Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.39,
"modelProbability": 0.472412,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000716",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-09T16:32:04.859Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 47.2% · DRAW 25.0% · AWAY 27.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-06 06:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-06 06:06Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.39
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000716
- Fair price
- 2.35
- Market price
- 2.59
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 5.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Fri 9 Oct · 15:13 UTC
- Published
- Fri 9 Oct · 15:13 UTC
- Locked
- Fri 9 Oct · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordFri 9 Oct · 15:13 UTC2c2c5…4f01
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv13vldw0008r6j38ary9881",
"edge": 0.057771,
"fairOdds": 2.35,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmuq7axfy02e4i604lqvxinoq",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-09T15:13:49.571Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.59,
"modelProbability": 0.424979,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000716.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000716",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-09T15:13:49.571Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordFri 9 Oct · 16:32 UTC7d0b1…180b
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv13vldw0008r6j38ary9881",
"edge": 0.057771,
"fairOdds": 2.35,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmuq7axfy02e4i604lqvxinoq",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-09T15:13:49.571Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.59,
"modelProbability": 0.424979,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000716.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000716",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-09T16:32:04.859Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 42.5% · DRAW 26.7% · AWAY 30.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-09 15:13Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-09 15:13Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H1_6
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.59
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.