PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000719

MQ-000719

Malaga v Espanol · La Liga · Fri 9 Oct · 19:00 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

1X2 · HOME · 36.1% · confidence 60

בוטל

Fair price: 2.77
Market price: 2.71
Probability gap: 1.2 percentage points
Generated: Tue 6 Oct · 06:06 UTC
Published: Tue 6 Oct · 06:06 UTC
Locked: Fri 9 Oct · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordTue 6 Oct · 06:06 UTC15365…2b30

153657daa73ae1effdd9e56b3ec64ffb50d89e6ce9b3cf1c7c58f9a8a62a2b30

{
 "confidenceScore": 60,
 "dataQualityScore": 51,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuwa0vi6003kr692b94yq987",
 "edge": 0.011594,
 "fairOdds": 2.77,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuq7ax7d02dsi604gwsed7ik",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-06T06:06:48.942Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.71,
 "modelProbability": 0.36083,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000719",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-06T06:06:48.942Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordFri 9 Oct · 17:02 UTC429b8…8944

429b8d4b74642423a4292503fd16ea1f1d29d9daf0f7885fbe8fab04191a8944

{
 "confidenceScore": 60,
 "dataQualityScore": 51,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuwa0vi6003kr692b94yq987",
 "edge": 0.011594,
 "fairOdds": 2.77,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuq7ax7d02dsi604gwsed7ik",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-06T06:06:48.942Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.71,
 "modelProbability": 0.36083,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000719",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T17:02:00.736Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 36.1% · DRAW 29.0% · AWAY 34.9%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-06 06:06Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-06 06:06Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.71
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000719

1X2 · AWAY · 37.2% · confidence 59 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 2.69
Market price: 2.71
Probability gap: 2.1 percentage points
Generated: Tue 6 Oct · 09:10 UTC
Published: Tue 6 Oct · 09:10 UTC
Locked: Fri 9 Oct · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordTue 6 Oct · 09:10 UTCd7509…8177

d75094d9daa5dd5f23a7d51111be9cce2d83d82de2066ed299ee017734608177

{
 "confidenceScore": 59,
 "dataQualityScore": 51,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuwgkb4f000er6717qltaare",
 "edge": 0.021057,
 "fairOdds": 2.69,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuq7ax7d02dsi604gwsed7ik",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-06T09:10:02.363Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.71,
 "modelProbability": 0.371863,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000719.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000719",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-06T09:10:02.363Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordFri 9 Oct · 17:02 UTC4e094…34c9

4e094f822c59791617805aa273f62abff70106753f25990eeed3447b1b3634c9

{
 "confidenceScore": 59,
 "dataQualityScore": 51,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuwgkb4f000er6717qltaare",
 "edge": 0.021057,
 "fairOdds": 2.69,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuq7ax7d02dsi604gwsed7ik",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-06T09:10:02.363Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.71,
 "modelProbability": 0.371863,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000719.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000719",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T17:02:00.736Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 31.9% · DRAW 30.9% · AWAY 37.2%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-06 09:10Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-06 09:10Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.71
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000719.v2

1X2 · HOME · 36.1% · confidence 60 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 2.77
Market price: 2.70
Probability gap: 1 percentage points
Generated: Tue 6 Oct · 15:15 UTC
Published: Tue 6 Oct · 15:15 UTC
Locked: Fri 9 Oct · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordTue 6 Oct · 15:15 UTC27cc3…13af

27cc3e81392090e905285c5588570bced24c762eeadce7d01f4ee4fc833413af

{
 "confidenceScore": 60,
 "dataQualityScore": 51,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuwtmzlk000er60g4w2tdowl",
 "edge": 0.009712,
 "fairOdds": 2.77,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuq7ax7d02dsi604gwsed7ik",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-06T15:15:58.841Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.7,
 "modelProbability": 0.36083,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000719.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000719.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-06T15:15:58.841Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordFri 9 Oct · 17:02 UTC9baa3…52a6

9baa3a75206fa58d26c3ffd06d03c12679438a386e785407e99a8908233652a6

{
 "confidenceScore": 60,
 "dataQualityScore": 51,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuwtmzlk000er60g4w2tdowl",
 "edge": 0.009712,
 "fairOdds": 2.77,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuq7ax7d02dsi604gwsed7ik",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-06T15:15:58.841Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.7,
 "modelProbability": 0.36083,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000719.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000719.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T17:02:00.736Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 36.1% · DRAW 29.0% · AWAY 34.9%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-06 15:15Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-06 15:15Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.70
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 4 · previous MQ-000719.v3

1X2 · AWAY · 37.2% · confidence 59 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 2.69
Market price: 2.68
Probability gap: 1.8 percentage points
Generated: Wed 7 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Published: Wed 7 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Locked: Fri 9 Oct · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordWed 7 Oct · 09:11 UTCf4552…b722

f455298569debe14df9c26390f1c44efd13dd3862477c0e112a8d8521ea5b722

{
 "confidenceScore": 59,
 "dataQualityScore": 51,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuxw1wdd000er605khhup2gv",
 "edge": 0.018145,
 "fairOdds": 2.69,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuq7ax7d02dsi604gwsed7ik",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T09:11:22.183Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.68,
 "modelProbability": 0.371863,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000719.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000719.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-07T09:11:22.183Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordFri 9 Oct · 17:02 UTC7878d…d819

7878d505f26ac726c85a5b6218016525d030d2c00b15e3585d516d152cdad819

{
 "confidenceScore": 59,
 "dataQualityScore": 51,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuxw1wdd000er605khhup2gv",
 "edge": 0.018145,
 "fairOdds": 2.69,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuq7ax7d02dsi604gwsed7ik",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T09:11:22.183Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.68,
 "modelProbability": 0.371863,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000719.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000719.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T17:02:00.736Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 31.9% · DRAW 30.9% · AWAY 37.2%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-07 09:11Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-07 09:11Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H48_72
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.68
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 5 · previous MQ-000719.v4

1X2 · HOME · 36.1% · confidence 60 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 2.77
Market price: 2.74
Probability gap: 1.5 percentage points
Generated: Wed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC
Published: Wed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC
Locked: Fri 9 Oct · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordWed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC14f6d…4a18

14f6d8cad9cd0c2f48eba9e486b11da6b50659d40c2bb0c76d2d857ecd554a18

{
 "confidenceScore": 60,
 "dataQualityScore": 51,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuyf9dsa000er68kwuj3mxs2",
 "edge": 0.014552,
 "fairOdds": 2.77,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuq7ax7d02dsi604gwsed7ik",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.74,
 "modelProbability": 0.36083,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000719.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000719.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordFri 9 Oct · 17:02 UTCd3a04…1b46

d3a04642242ccc247264383458a231ca5dc542a2efdafd0605148695a98d1b46

{
 "confidenceScore": 60,
 "dataQualityScore": 51,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuyf9dsa000er68kwuj3mxs2",
 "edge": 0.014552,
 "fairOdds": 2.77,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuq7ax7d02dsi604gwsed7ik",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.74,
 "modelProbability": 0.36083,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000719.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000719.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T17:02:00.736Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 36.1% · DRAW 29.0% · AWAY 34.9%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-07 18:09Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-07 18:09Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H48_72
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.74
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 6 · previous MQ-000719.v5

1X2 · HOME · 34.4% · confidence 59 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 2.91
Market price: 2.74
Probability gap: 0.3 percentage points
Generated: Wed 7 Oct · 21:13 UTC
Published: Wed 7 Oct · 21:13 UTC
Locked: Fri 9 Oct · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordWed 7 Oct · 21:13 UTC454d8…0ef1

454d8b650dad58dbd307ce1b2785f34b91a16f9008c88ab78fa2664188df0ef1

{
 "confidenceScore": 59,
 "dataQualityScore": 51,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuyltx8b000er6wi7t1j0ov6",
 "edge": -0.003015,
 "fairOdds": 2.91,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuq7ax7d02dsi604gwsed7ik",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T21:13:01.714Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.74,
 "modelProbability": 0.344048,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000719.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000719.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-07T21:13:01.714Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordFri 9 Oct · 17:02 UTC28c3d…e7fa

28c3d1100f171064e5024483689b9b93b3ecd0b79eb64060d281104147b5e7fa

{
 "confidenceScore": 59,
 "dataQualityScore": 51,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuyltx8b000er6wi7t1j0ov6",
 "edge": -0.003015,
 "fairOdds": 2.91,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuq7ax7d02dsi604gwsed7ik",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T21:13:01.714Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.74,
 "modelProbability": 0.344048,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000719.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000719.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T17:02:00.736Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 34.4% · DRAW 31.4% · AWAY 34.2%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-07 21:13Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-07 21:13Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H24_48
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.74
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 7 · previous MQ-000719.v6

1X2 · AWAY · 40.0% · confidence 57 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 2.50
Market price: 2.67
Probability gap: 4.5 percentage points
Generated: Thu 8 Oct · 09:16 UTC
Published: Thu 8 Oct · 09:16 UTC
Locked: Fri 9 Oct · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordThu 8 Oct · 09:16 UTC2a95b…7287

2a95bd8b076e838e422044f81ca45a3c5f6bc63ae3f72013ce72970ed0317287

{
 "confidenceScore": 57,
 "dataQualityScore": 51,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzboveb000er6l8ovz0vq30",
 "edge": 0.044512,
 "fairOdds": 2.5,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuq7ax7d02dsi604gwsed7ik",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T09:16:31.392Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.67,
 "modelProbability": 0.400201,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000719.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000719.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-08T09:16:31.392Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordFri 9 Oct · 17:02 UTC27f2b…2d57

27f2b1b63f4fa9b87748d1b9fc220dc66feeb50a33aa6edb8251ad833f9c2d57

{
 "confidenceScore": 57,
 "dataQualityScore": 51,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzboveb000er6l8ovz0vq30",
 "edge": 0.044512,
 "fairOdds": 2.5,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuq7ax7d02dsi604gwsed7ik",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T09:16:31.392Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.67,
 "modelProbability": 0.400201,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000719.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000719.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T17:02:00.736Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 30.4% · DRAW 29.5% · AWAY 40.0%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-08 09:16Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-08 09:16Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H24_48
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.67
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 8 · previous MQ-000719.v7

1X2 · HOME · 34.4% · confidence 59 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 2.91
Market price: 2.75
Probability gap: 0.2 percentage points
Generated: Thu 8 Oct · 15:10 UTC
Published: Thu 8 Oct · 15:10 UTC
Locked: Fri 9 Oct · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordThu 8 Oct · 15:10 UTC65598…2c87

655989b9ebadf966f80d40de05816db1d1904a05d87fcc8f8534741ed0292c87

{
 "confidenceScore": 59,
 "dataQualityScore": 51,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzoc4z7000er6dampjbarp6",
 "edge": -0.001589,
 "fairOdds": 2.91,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuq7ax7d02dsi604gwsed7ik",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T15:10:59.262Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.75,
 "modelProbability": 0.344048,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000719.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000719.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-08T15:10:59.262Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordFri 9 Oct · 17:02 UTC4391b…0510

4391ba1c777219f7ca2bda6fb5d06c1b5c825323be8f2d3ae994061a964d0510

{
 "confidenceScore": 59,
 "dataQualityScore": 51,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzoc4z7000er6dampjbarp6",
 "edge": -0.001589,
 "fairOdds": 2.91,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuq7ax7d02dsi604gwsed7ik",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T15:10:59.262Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.75,
 "modelProbability": 0.344048,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000719.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000719.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T17:02:00.736Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 34.4% · DRAW 31.4% · AWAY 34.2%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-08 15:10Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-08 15:10Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H24_48
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.75
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 9 · previous MQ-000719.v8

1X2 · HOME · 36.1% · confidence 60 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 2.77
Market price: 2.80
Probability gap: 2.1 percentage points
Generated: Fri 9 Oct · 06:08 UTC
Published: Fri 9 Oct · 06:08 UTC
Locked: Fri 9 Oct · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordFri 9 Oct · 06:08 UTC15fa8…ca9b

15fa80ed0492a8ca6bbb40627264dff829ef1180ab473af1d4e2621aa89dca9b

{
 "confidenceScore": 60,
 "dataQualityScore": 51,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv0keih0000er6srve79z4gk",
 "edge": 0.021465,
 "fairOdds": 2.77,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuq7ax7d02dsi604gwsed7ik",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T06:08:33.636Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.8,
 "modelProbability": 0.36083,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000719.v9",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000719.v8",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T06:08:33.636Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordFri 9 Oct · 17:02 UTCf5aa4…abcc

f5aa45ec10cbbb492f902c3dcf25d60b07e6bf5160b1ab4aa938538f213aabcc

{
 "confidenceScore": 60,
 "dataQualityScore": 51,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv0keih0000er6srve79z4gk",
 "edge": 0.021465,
 "fairOdds": 2.77,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuq7ax7d02dsi604gwsed7ik",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T06:08:33.636Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.8,
 "modelProbability": 0.36083,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000719.v9",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000719.v8",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T17:02:00.736Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 36.1% · DRAW 29.0% · AWAY 34.9%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-09 06:08Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-09 06:08Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H12_24
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.80
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 10 · previous MQ-000719.v9

1X2 · AWAY · 40.0% · confidence 57 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 2.50
Market price: 2.59
Probability gap: 3.2 percentage points
Generated: Fri 9 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Published: Fri 9 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Locked: Fri 9 Oct · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordFri 9 Oct · 09:11 UTC71f9d…8238

71f9dcf30d0d67da5cd511b7c456b95d85dc1d5f4f2ff036db9c0cf9154e8238

{
 "confidenceScore": 57,
 "dataQualityScore": 51,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv0qy6d2000zr6a3xevm186l",
 "edge": 0.03171,
 "fairOdds": 2.5,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuq7ax7d02dsi604gwsed7ik",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T09:11:45.583Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.59,
 "modelProbability": 0.400201,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000719.v10",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000719.v9",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T09:11:45.583Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordFri 9 Oct · 17:02 UTCb5216…6b50

b5216758a894a330c5c932866636db190963ba75c30bcebd43a22e9377d76b50

{
 "confidenceScore": 57,
 "dataQualityScore": 51,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv0qy6d2000zr6a3xevm186l",
 "edge": 0.03171,
 "fairOdds": 2.5,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuq7ax7d02dsi604gwsed7ik",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T09:11:45.583Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.59,
 "modelProbability": 0.400201,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000719.v10",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000719.v9",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T17:02:00.736Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 30.4% · DRAW 29.5% · AWAY 40.0%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-09 09:11Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-09 09:11Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H6_12
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.59
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 11 · previous MQ-000719.v10

1X2 · HOME · 36.1% · confidence 60 · reason: Model refresh

החטאה

Fair price: 2.77
Market price: 2.90
Probability gap: 3.2 percentage points
Generated: Fri 9 Oct · 15:13 UTC
Published: Fri 9 Oct · 15:13 UTC
Locked: Fri 9 Oct · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordFri 9 Oct · 15:13 UTC5c0a2…13ad

5c0a20c27888db58176022377a7b0c642cff57d145aabaed0d30c1ae16c513ad

{
 "confidenceScore": 60,
 "dataQualityScore": 51,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv13vsdy001or6j34qktj6id",
 "edge": 0.031956,
 "fairOdds": 2.77,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuq7ax7d02dsi604gwsed7ik",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T15:13:49.571Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.9,
 "modelProbability": 0.36083,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000719.v11",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000719.v10",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T15:13:49.571Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordFri 9 Oct · 17:02 UTC90752…9f01

907521a91d9e1d80601add9e30bbceddde52cfb98a9936bcceb023b47ce99f01

{
 "confidenceScore": 60,
 "dataQualityScore": 51,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv13vsdy001or6j34qktj6id",
 "edge": 0.031956,
 "fairOdds": 2.77,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuq7ax7d02dsi604gwsed7ik",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T15:13:49.571Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.9,
 "modelProbability": 0.36083,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000719.v11",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000719.v10",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T17:02:00.736Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 36.1% · DRAW 29.0% · AWAY 34.9%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-09 15:13Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-09 15:13Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H1_6
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.90
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.