MQ-000730
Mainz v Leverkusen · Bundesliga · Sat 10 Oct · 13:30 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.60
- Market price
- 1.46
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2.3 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 6 Oct · 15:15 UTC
- Published
- Tue 6 Oct · 15:15 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 6 Oct · 15:15 UTCbb0f0…46a0
{
"confidenceScore": 75,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuwtnlh9003gr60gu3xbw71c",
"edge": -0.023255,
"fairOdds": 1.6,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmuryno7602h9jv04h1pfo3tf",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-06T15:15:58.841Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.46,
"modelProbability": 0.624088,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000730",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-06T15:15:58.841Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTC1b6a9…0d80
{
"confidenceScore": 75,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuwtnlh9003gr60gu3xbw71c",
"edge": -0.023255,
"fairOdds": 1.6,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmuryno7602h9jv04h1pfo3tf",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-06T15:15:58.841Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.46,
"modelProbability": 0.624088,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000730",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-10T11:32:04.980Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 62.4% · UNDER 37.6%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-06 15:15Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-06 15:15Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.46
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000730
- Fair price
- 1.60
- Market price
- 1.54
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 0.9 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 10 Oct · 12:10 UTC
- Published
- Sat 10 Oct · 12:10 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 10 Oct · 12:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 12:10 UTCdaa8d…51e0
{
"confidenceScore": 79,
"dataQualityScore": 97,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv2cshtl000xr6uqpq6b5w8q",
"edge": 0.008592,
"fairOdds": 1.6,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmuryno7602h9jv04h1pfo3tf",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-10T12:10:57.413Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.54,
"modelProbability": 0.624552,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000730.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000730",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-10T12:10:57.413Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 12:32 UTCf22b0…cedf
{
"confidenceScore": 79,
"dataQualityScore": 97,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv2cshtl000xr6uqpq6b5w8q",
"edge": 0.008592,
"fairOdds": 1.6,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmuryno7602h9jv04h1pfo3tf",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-10T12:10:57.413Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.54,
"modelProbability": 0.624552,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000730.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000730",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-10T12:32:05.437Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 62.5% · UNDER 37.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-10 12:10Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-10 12:10Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H1_6
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.54
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.