PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000736

MQ-000736

Hoffenheim v Hamburg · Bundesliga · Sat 10 Oct · 13:30 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

BTTS · YES · 62.5% · confidence 87

בוטל

Fair price: 1.60
Market price: —
Probability gap: No market price to compare against.
Generated: Tue 6 Oct · 15:15 UTC
Published: Tue 6 Oct · 15:15 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordTue 6 Oct · 15:15 UTC06657…9856

06657d94bf1f488bc97a76bfceb84ac6f37a2133da267cec4026c91ae1da9856

{
 "confidenceScore": 87,
 "dataQualityScore": 68,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuwto0uk006yr60ggvea8whi",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.6,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynojq02hrjv04a65r24rj",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-06T15:15:58.841Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.624932,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000736",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-06T15:15:58.841Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTC7c14e…4e05

7c14eee0c9d02b90696fbd71870e18473d159d93b57e49108f972cf671624e05

{
 "confidenceScore": 87,
 "dataQualityScore": 68,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuwto0uk006yr60ggvea8whi",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.6,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynojq02hrjv04a65r24rj",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-06T15:15:58.841Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.624932,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000736",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T11:32:04.980Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: YES 62.5% · NO 37.5%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-06 15:15Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-06 15:15Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000736

BTTS · YES · 63.6% · confidence 85 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.57
Market price: —
Probability gap: No market price to compare against.
Generated: Wed 7 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Published: Wed 7 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordWed 7 Oct · 09:11 UTC8e751…24df

8e751c0c2cfece21172a75cd7bfbd3a555dd2e7d275c9d75a161f39c00e824df

{
 "confidenceScore": 85,
 "dataQualityScore": 68,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuxw2lu6002kr605gk1kgzg2",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.57,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynojq02hrjv04a65r24rj",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T09:11:22.183Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.635558,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000736.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000736",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-07T09:11:22.183Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTC48021…c7ef

48021e71d6fb0009cbe38866bb3307bc325eb6111d586ab18f50d0fa575cc7ef

{
 "confidenceScore": 85,
 "dataQualityScore": 68,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuxw2lu6002kr605gk1kgzg2",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.57,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynojq02hrjv04a65r24rj",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T09:11:22.183Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.635558,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000736.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000736",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T11:32:04.980Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: YES 63.6% · NO 36.4%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-07 09:11Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-07 09:11Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000736.v2

BTTS · YES · 62.5% · confidence 87 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.60
Market price: —
Probability gap: No market price to compare against.
Generated: Wed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC
Published: Wed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordWed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTCc8da2…a8a0

c8da2e28bd43c7d5fe59e55aa525c76f66596d384280e33a40c55fdb4103a8a0

{
 "confidenceScore": 87,
 "dataQualityScore": 68,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuyfa0i0002mr68kv3dodstv",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.6,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynojq02hrjv04a65r24rj",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.625033,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000736.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000736.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTCcd106…4a94

cd106cc4de37d41c14850ad8fa437d44a9cca356a8373204cd207e2634c64a94

{
 "confidenceScore": 87,
 "dataQualityScore": 68,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuyfa0i0002mr68kv3dodstv",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.6,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynojq02hrjv04a65r24rj",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.625033,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000736.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000736.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T11:32:04.980Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: YES 62.5% · NO 37.5%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-07 18:09Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-07 18:09Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H48_72
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 4 · previous MQ-000736.v3

BTTS · YES · 63.6% · confidence 85 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.57
Market price: —
Probability gap: No market price to compare against.
Generated: Thu 8 Oct · 09:16 UTC
Published: Thu 8 Oct · 09:16 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordThu 8 Oct · 09:16 UTC90505…c60d

9050521583ee8d92ccb68e423254435f5bae242ba13d1810fa95c5d871c1c60d

{
 "confidenceScore": 85,
 "dataQualityScore": 68,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzbqtkr003yr6l88f5pt0fx",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.57,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynojq02hrjv04a65r24rj",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T09:16:31.392Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.635644,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000736.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000736.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-08T09:16:31.392Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTC6225c…f34f

6225cfa986511893ed8536b87450422b9fbf64d98ae5928b3347dc827ca9f34f

{
 "confidenceScore": 85,
 "dataQualityScore": 68,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzbqtkr003yr6l88f5pt0fx",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.57,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynojq02hrjv04a65r24rj",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T09:16:31.392Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.635644,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000736.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000736.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T11:32:04.980Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: YES 63.6% · NO 36.4%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-08 09:16Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-08 09:16Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H48_72
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 5 · previous MQ-000736.v4

BTTS · YES · 62.5% · confidence 87 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.60
Market price: —
Probability gap: No market price to compare against.
Generated: Thu 8 Oct · 15:10 UTC
Published: Thu 8 Oct · 15:10 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordThu 8 Oct · 15:10 UTCc80bf…95e0

c80bf1bdca403fe5ff0a5dd7116beb00ab0f42a470ddb8136874dc753fd095e0

{
 "confidenceScore": 87,
 "dataQualityScore": 68,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzocx4j0052r6da3pea5oib",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.6,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynojq02hrjv04a65r24rj",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T15:10:59.262Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.625112,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000736.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000736.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-08T15:10:59.262Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTCd931b…4e4e

d931bb5f4eb67e4d95dca12232b1ff1e383e89d8a3deb33a6e0928af9db74e4e

{
 "confidenceScore": 87,
 "dataQualityScore": 68,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzocx4j0052r6da3pea5oib",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.6,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynojq02hrjv04a65r24rj",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T15:10:59.262Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.625112,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000736.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000736.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T11:32:04.980Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: YES 62.5% · NO 37.5%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-08 15:10Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-08 15:10Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H24_48
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 6 · previous MQ-000736.v5

BTTS · YES · 63.6% · confidence 85 · reason: Model refresh

פגיעה

Fair price: 1.57
Market price: —
Probability gap: No market price to compare against.
Generated: Sat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Published: Sat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTCb3c88…bffb

b3c883f549b20a480a34da927a51cbe8ee5f2a9292ebc14a69a6de321fd8bffb

{
 "confidenceScore": 85,
 "dataQualityScore": 68,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv26enov005wr65x6n1m3rr2",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.57,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynojq02hrjv04a65r24rj",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.63571,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000736.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000736.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTCcb6a0…edb5

cb6a0535872e80c86a43bcece1a3b8d7735e706678f406b56e94f8abab6bedb5

{
 "confidenceScore": 85,
 "dataQualityScore": 68,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv26enov005wr65x6n1m3rr2",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.57,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynojq02hrjv04a65r24rj",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.63571,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000736.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000736.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T11:32:04.980Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: YES 63.6% · NO 36.4%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-10 09:11Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-10 09:11Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H1_6
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.