PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000737

MQ-000737

Augsburg v Bayern Munich · Bundesliga · Sat 10 Oct · 13:30 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

1X2 · AWAY · 69.4% · confidence 88

בוטל

Fair price: 1.44
Market price: 1.20
Probability gap: 9.9 percentage points
Generated: Tue 6 Oct · 15:15 UTC
Published: Tue 6 Oct · 15:15 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordTue 6 Oct · 15:15 UTC18172…6f73

18172dbe20c1f27446e31c6ac424be1ac7680ae503ecac3c1d1b59eeb3866f73

{
 "confidenceScore": 88,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuwto7a0008yr60gigkego3l",
 "edge": -0.099184,
 "fairOdds": 1.44,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynonx02hxjv04q81i1v1g",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-06T15:15:58.841Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.2,
 "modelProbability": 0.693822,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000737",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-06T15:15:58.841Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTCa9486…3424

a9486df4ab9ca0e409609b24fa28fd18e794c81004c4bff95e224b3758d83424

{
 "confidenceScore": 88,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuwto7a0008yr60gigkego3l",
 "edge": -0.099184,
 "fairOdds": 1.44,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynonx02hxjv04q81i1v1g",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-06T15:15:58.841Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.2,
 "modelProbability": 0.693822,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000737",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T11:32:04.980Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 9.1% · DRAW 21.5% · AWAY 69.4%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-06 15:15Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-06 15:15Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.20
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000737

1X2 · AWAY · 63.6% · confidence 92 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.57
Market price: 1.19
Probability gap: 16.1 percentage points
Generated: Wed 7 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Published: Wed 7 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordWed 7 Oct · 09:11 UTC0ce3f…ba35

0ce3f41257cb5e71062b1e5a529d51a4847fbd66b216209b04933dc8fe71ba35

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuxw2tj4004er60551rb2t51",
 "edge": -0.161192,
 "fairOdds": 1.57,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynonx02hxjv04q81i1v1g",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T09:11:22.183Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.19,
 "modelProbability": 0.635684,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000737.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000737",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-07T09:11:22.183Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTC82eea…3869

82eea38af2b12f227ae846f7ea02fddab79f4b8ff65d0bf2b026ebf981793869

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuxw2tj4004er60551rb2t51",
 "edge": -0.161192,
 "fairOdds": 1.57,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynonx02hxjv04q81i1v1g",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T09:11:22.183Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.19,
 "modelProbability": 0.635684,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000737.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000737",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T11:32:04.980Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 16.1% · DRAW 20.3% · AWAY 63.6%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-07 09:11Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-07 09:11Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.19
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000737.v2

1X2 · AWAY · 69.4% · confidence 88 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.44
Market price: 1.19
Probability gap: 10.5 percentage points
Generated: Wed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC
Published: Wed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordWed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC28cc5…db42

28cc50a4e35fb6dc181ef4fefd0970283f4d792a38c88f8f7b5dd9a32377db42

{
 "confidenceScore": 88,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuyfa63s004mr68ktmibwatb",
 "edge": -0.105103,
 "fairOdds": 1.44,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynonx02hxjv04q81i1v1g",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.19,
 "modelProbability": 0.693822,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000737.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000737.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTCa9699…3eea

a9699746180eed366309b0b4615ea63c2fc640dbc08f2c062a786b8c2b663eea

{
 "confidenceScore": 88,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuyfa63s004mr68ktmibwatb",
 "edge": -0.105103,
 "fairOdds": 1.44,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynonx02hxjv04q81i1v1g",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.19,
 "modelProbability": 0.693822,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000737.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000737.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T11:32:04.980Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 9.1% · DRAW 21.5% · AWAY 69.4%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-07 18:09Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-07 18:09Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H48_72
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.19
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 4 · previous MQ-000737.v3

1X2 · AWAY · 63.6% · confidence 92 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.57
Market price: 1.19
Probability gap: 16.3 percentage points
Generated: Thu 8 Oct · 09:16 UTC
Published: Thu 8 Oct · 09:16 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordThu 8 Oct · 09:16 UTCbdebc…0a3e

bdebc22549c95d0982c0b624fe1587dee29d742ee41e1d17c0cd70955e1b0a3e

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzbq0i20024r6l8dtb2p2vf",
 "edge": -0.163261,
 "fairOdds": 1.57,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynonx02hxjv04q81i1v1g",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T09:16:31.392Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.19,
 "modelProbability": 0.635684,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000737.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000737.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-08T09:16:31.392Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTCa6370…e9b3

a6370d42e0c689f1ed876759e973a8e8488f82d217d1acf0173a44f1645ae9b3

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzbq0i20024r6l8dtb2p2vf",
 "edge": -0.163261,
 "fairOdds": 1.57,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynonx02hxjv04q81i1v1g",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T09:16:31.392Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.19,
 "modelProbability": 0.635684,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000737.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000737.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T11:32:04.980Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 16.1% · DRAW 20.3% · AWAY 63.6%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-08 09:16Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-08 09:16Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H48_72
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.19
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 5 · previous MQ-000737.v4

1X2 · AWAY · 69.4% · confidence 88 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.44
Market price: 1.18
Probability gap: 11.1 percentage points
Generated: Thu 8 Oct · 15:10 UTC
Published: Thu 8 Oct · 15:10 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordThu 8 Oct · 15:10 UTC1f186…2a31

1f186cade3488fd0885748d51f44ffc0923e72ddb93a14f4ab93e431e1ce2a31

{
 "confidenceScore": 88,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzockt70036r6dapq41j6zd",
 "edge": -0.111068,
 "fairOdds": 1.44,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynonx02hxjv04q81i1v1g",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T15:10:59.262Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.18,
 "modelProbability": 0.693822,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000737.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000737.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-08T15:10:59.262Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTCcdbd7…f93a

cdbd78ed8722939ea72b0705ef8157413dbc34611b50decf0b6b6bdda7fff93a

{
 "confidenceScore": 88,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzockt70036r6dapq41j6zd",
 "edge": -0.111068,
 "fairOdds": 1.44,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynonx02hxjv04q81i1v1g",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T15:10:59.262Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.18,
 "modelProbability": 0.693822,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000737.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000737.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T11:32:04.980Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 9.1% · DRAW 21.5% · AWAY 69.4%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-08 15:10Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-08 15:10Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H24_48
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.18
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 6 · previous MQ-000737.v5

1X2 · AWAY · 73.4% · confidence 88 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.36
Market price: 1.19
Probability gap: 6.9 percentage points
Generated: Thu 8 Oct · 21:14 UTC
Published: Thu 8 Oct · 21:14 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordThu 8 Oct · 21:14 UTC88114…0ed2

88114db68b74348bd6a58545d3035ab69fdc1b6f2dbaf72d5b3af1ef24cb0ed2

{
 "confidenceScore": 88,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv01ci1m0026r60xzldycj42",
 "edge": -0.068606,
 "fairOdds": 1.36,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynonx02hxjv04q81i1v1g",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T21:14:49.994Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.19,
 "modelProbability": 0.733646,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000737.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000737.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-08T21:14:49.994Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTC56846…28cb

5684662ff98a89bd39535a09ceae0eba35ee9e1fc60612655eae9339c02c28cb

{
 "confidenceScore": 88,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv01ci1m0026r60xzldycj42",
 "edge": -0.068606,
 "fairOdds": 1.36,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynonx02hxjv04q81i1v1g",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T21:14:49.994Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.19,
 "modelProbability": 0.733646,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000737.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000737.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T11:32:04.980Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 9.0% · DRAW 17.6% · AWAY 73.4%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-08 21:14Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-08 21:14Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H24_48
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.19
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 7 · previous MQ-000737.v6

1X2 · AWAY · 69.4% · confidence 88 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.44
Market price: 1.18
Probability gap: 11.2 percentage points
Generated: Fri 9 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Published: Fri 9 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordFri 9 Oct · 09:11 UTC388fa…4bee

388fafb3964888fcf60bc849dd2067b4593da8cdb54661a6e974e1a1b26e4bee

{
 "confidenceScore": 88,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv0qynob002nr6a3lydrgwx4",
 "edge": -0.112026,
 "fairOdds": 1.44,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynonx02hxjv04q81i1v1g",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T09:11:45.583Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.18,
 "modelProbability": 0.693822,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000737.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000737.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T09:11:45.583Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTC40e1d…913f

40e1ddb6e52b17570474aa32891dece0f24a3f9e293c19189c60ddad1f7d913f

{
 "confidenceScore": 88,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv0qynob002nr6a3lydrgwx4",
 "edge": -0.112026,
 "fairOdds": 1.44,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynonx02hxjv04q81i1v1g",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T09:11:45.583Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.18,
 "modelProbability": 0.693822,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000737.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000737.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T11:32:04.980Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 9.1% · DRAW 21.5% · AWAY 69.4%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-09 09:11Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-09 09:11Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H24_48
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.18
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 8 · previous MQ-000737.v7

1X2 · AWAY · 73.4% · confidence 88 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.36
Market price: 1.17
Probability gap: 8.2 percentage points
Generated: Fri 9 Oct · 15:13 UTC
Published: Fri 9 Oct · 15:13 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordFri 9 Oct · 15:13 UTCec580…0ac1

ec580f2f50c529f95f3b401b64c62a8556b6edb57e8c5daba5af86edca030ac1

{
 "confidenceScore": 88,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv13w8eb003cr6j3myz0v82h",
 "edge": -0.081533,
 "fairOdds": 1.36,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynonx02hxjv04q81i1v1g",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T15:13:49.571Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.17,
 "modelProbability": 0.733646,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000737.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000737.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T15:13:49.571Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTC2e992…fbf9

2e9928e48bf3766f5633276ade0ee2e5d06b9fa6fb3f6b6c4b8462899cd5fbf9

{
 "confidenceScore": 88,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv13w8eb003cr6j3myz0v82h",
 "edge": -0.081533,
 "fairOdds": 1.36,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynonx02hxjv04q81i1v1g",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T15:13:49.571Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.17,
 "modelProbability": 0.733646,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000737.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000737.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T11:32:04.980Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 9.0% · DRAW 17.6% · AWAY 73.4%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-09 15:13Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-09 15:13Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H12_24
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.17
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 9 · previous MQ-000737.v8

1X2 · AWAY · 69.4% · confidence 88 · reason: Model refresh

החטאה

Fair price: 1.44
Market price: 1.17
Probability gap: 12 percentage points
Generated: Sat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Published: Sat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTCa6278…a75c

a6278af1c5dc55e2c5240838538c5a3c3684e3d5349215330191c8e25610a75c

{
 "confidenceScore": 88,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv26e510002or65x74bvm6hv",
 "edge": -0.1202,
 "fairOdds": 1.44,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynonx02hxjv04q81i1v1g",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.17,
 "modelProbability": 0.693822,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000737.v9",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000737.v8",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 11:32 UTCb37d5…ac23

b37d5090d0916a6ae2f8abb534302b11f9e13485dd1a3d496faf6c96b24dac23

{
 "confidenceScore": 88,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv26e510002or65x74bvm6hv",
 "edge": -0.1202,
 "fairOdds": 1.44,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynonx02hxjv04q81i1v1g",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.17,
 "modelProbability": 0.693822,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000737.v9",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000737.v8",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T11:32:04.980Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 9.1% · DRAW 21.5% · AWAY 69.4%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-10 09:11Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-10 09:11Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H1_6
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.17
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.