PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000746

MQ-000746

Aston Villa v Brentford · Premier League · Sat 10 Oct · 14:00 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

1X2 · HOME · 40.7% · confidence 94

בוטל

Fair price: 2.46
Market price: 2.67
Probability gap: 5.1 percentage points
Generated: Tue 6 Oct · 15:15 UTC
Published: Tue 6 Oct · 15:15 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 12:02 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordTue 6 Oct · 15:15 UTCb4e63…9953

b4e63a309f5dd2222baf501b89393e64748a839dab1662e44136cf81004c9953

{
 "confidenceScore": 94,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuwtov3n00esr60g3y2vracp",
 "edge": 0.050825,
 "fairOdds": 2.46,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynmwv02fnjv04m8onzqd6",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-06T15:15:58.841Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.67,
 "modelProbability": 0.406734,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000746",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-06T15:15:58.841Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 12:02 UTC3c2ff…48d6

3c2ff15d570e7c105b2d2ef1047b7a0026be47f5645730dbb730f64bcffc48d6

{
 "confidenceScore": 94,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuwtov3n00esr60g3y2vracp",
 "edge": 0.050825,
 "fairOdds": 2.46,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynmwv02fnjv04m8onzqd6",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-06T15:15:58.841Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.67,
 "modelProbability": 0.406734,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000746",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T12:02:05.190Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 40.7% · DRAW 26.9% · AWAY 32.4%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-06 15:15Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-06 15:15Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.67
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000746

1X2 · HOME · 38.2% · confidence 75 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 2.62
Market price: 2.64
Probability gap: 2.2 percentage points
Generated: Wed 7 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Published: Wed 7 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 12:02 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordWed 7 Oct · 09:11 UTCa3575…bf85

a3575248201ba13d34540005303ccc36b25ed4362605f185b7853c6a8cc3bf85

{
 "confidenceScore": 75,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuxw349i005gr605bmsajmeo",
 "edge": 0.022463,
 "fairOdds": 2.62,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynmwv02fnjv04m8onzqd6",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T09:11:22.183Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.64,
 "modelProbability": 0.382014,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000746.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000746",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-07T09:11:22.183Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 12:02 UTCf1c92…c5fc

f1c92891fbbbc788c48d678498a292dc16f447e061e94981a2f61b3b9502c5fc

{
 "confidenceScore": 75,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuxw349i005gr605bmsajmeo",
 "edge": 0.022463,
 "fairOdds": 2.62,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynmwv02fnjv04m8onzqd6",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T09:11:22.183Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.64,
 "modelProbability": 0.382014,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000746.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000746",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T12:02:05.190Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 38.2% · DRAW 28.1% · AWAY 33.7%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-07 09:11Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-07 09:11Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.64
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000746.v2

1X2 · HOME · 40.7% · confidence 94 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 2.46
Market price: 2.64
Probability gap: 4.7 percentage points
Generated: Wed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC
Published: Wed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 12:02 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordWed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTCa3f1e…03d0

a3f1e43e07fb5b0c7e96ee5cfe99504809de8aac28bbb55998947531f1e903d0

{
 "confidenceScore": 94,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuyfahck006ar68ko8m7q8es",
 "edge": 0.046664,
 "fairOdds": 2.46,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynmwv02fnjv04m8onzqd6",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.64,
 "modelProbability": 0.406734,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000746.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000746.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 12:02 UTC025f8…f6b6

025f8680a8538e148c5ae297aa566ee80bc694ecfea68aa4a0c3c629b400f6b6

{
 "confidenceScore": 94,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuyfahck006ar68ko8m7q8es",
 "edge": 0.046664,
 "fairOdds": 2.46,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynmwv02fnjv04m8onzqd6",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.64,
 "modelProbability": 0.406734,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000746.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000746.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T12:02:05.190Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 40.7% · DRAW 26.9% · AWAY 32.4%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-07 18:09Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-07 18:09Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H48_72
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.64
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 4 · previous MQ-000746.v3

1X2 · HOME · 38.2% · confidence 75 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 2.62
Market price: 2.63
Probability gap: 2.1 percentage points
Generated: Thu 8 Oct · 09:16 UTC
Published: Thu 8 Oct · 09:16 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 12:02 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordThu 8 Oct · 09:16 UTCa8a83…0d0b

a8a839f8eda1dca9e2af3995fe664a1b7e73ffe2b3bf530410fc95af34250d0b

{
 "confidenceScore": 75,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzbrs9g006or6l8xm6hsjr1",
 "edge": 0.020552,
 "fairOdds": 2.62,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynmwv02fnjv04m8onzqd6",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T09:16:31.392Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.63,
 "modelProbability": 0.382014,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000746.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000746.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-08T09:16:31.392Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 12:02 UTC5e4f9…aab5

5e4f9adfb35485b51de3f3fee8e01bb0ce459be9d4fc7f9b4a8a75c8e4ccaab5

{
 "confidenceScore": 75,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzbrs9g006or6l8xm6hsjr1",
 "edge": 0.020552,
 "fairOdds": 2.62,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynmwv02fnjv04m8onzqd6",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T09:16:31.392Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.63,
 "modelProbability": 0.382014,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000746.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000746.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T12:02:05.190Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 38.2% · DRAW 28.1% · AWAY 33.7%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-08 09:16Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-08 09:16Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H48_72
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.63
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 5 · previous MQ-000746.v4

1X2 · HOME · 37.0% · confidence 75 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 2.70
Market price: 2.63
Probability gap: 0.9 percentage points
Generated: Thu 8 Oct · 12:11 UTC
Published: Thu 8 Oct · 12:11 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 12:02 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordThu 8 Oct · 12:11 UTCdefbd…f493

defbdec4cf1c718a70e41a27a94493ae39c37f192610b12e87d6ec6c8b53f493

{
 "confidenceScore": 75,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzhxxmu003cr6d4gae0d347",
 "edge": 0.009031,
 "fairOdds": 2.7,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynmwv02fnjv04m8onzqd6",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T12:11:16.019Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.63,
 "modelProbability": 0.370493,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000746.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000746.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-08T12:11:16.019Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 12:02 UTC00b0c…3374

00b0caeaf8664e86055ed6b51e23674c9539b138a9051196ea8d0c3e63863374

{
 "confidenceScore": 75,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzhxxmu003cr6d4gae0d347",
 "edge": 0.009031,
 "fairOdds": 2.7,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynmwv02fnjv04m8onzqd6",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T12:11:16.019Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.63,
 "modelProbability": 0.370493,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000746.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000746.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T12:02:05.190Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 37.0% · DRAW 27.2% · AWAY 35.7%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-08 12:11Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-08 12:11Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H48_72
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.63
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 6 · previous MQ-000746.v5

1X2 · HOME · 39.8% · confidence 92 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 2.51
Market price: 2.64
Probability gap: 3.8 percentage points
Generated: Thu 8 Oct · 15:10 UTC
Published: Thu 8 Oct · 15:10 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 12:02 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordThu 8 Oct · 15:10 UTCca568…1729

ca56871d0caf64b5056dac076d047e9bf6cdf0c41898dcb80951fe5c4f321729

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzodb200094r6da8vfgpuiw",
 "edge": 0.037547,
 "fairOdds": 2.51,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynmwv02fnjv04m8onzqd6",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T15:10:59.262Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.64,
 "modelProbability": 0.397893,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000746.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000746.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-08T15:10:59.262Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 12:02 UTCcc0c9…1957

cc0c9eb5fad39981be1b41b87292fc162baee910cdd0217f9272d24fa77a1957

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzodb200094r6da8vfgpuiw",
 "edge": 0.037547,
 "fairOdds": 2.51,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynmwv02fnjv04m8onzqd6",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T15:10:59.262Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.64,
 "modelProbability": 0.397893,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000746.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000746.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T12:02:05.190Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 39.8% · DRAW 27.3% · AWAY 32.9%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-08 15:10Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-08 15:10Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H24_48
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.64
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 7 · previous MQ-000746.v6

1X2 · AWAY · 38.6% · confidence 93 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 2.59
Market price: 2.58
Probability gap: 1.8 percentage points
Generated: Fri 9 Oct · 00:09 UTC
Published: Fri 9 Oct · 00:09 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 12:02 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordFri 9 Oct · 00:09 UTCf1863…b2f8

f186395a25c26da31ed021a487c0ca4c901e1287ac5d44ec069f546c6cacb2f8

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv07l4mx006kr6w0g4srmrpe",
 "edge": 0.017726,
 "fairOdds": 2.59,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynmwv02fnjv04m8onzqd6",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T00:09:01.862Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.58,
 "modelProbability": 0.386476,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000746.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000746.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T00:09:01.862Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 12:02 UTC66998…8810

66998130deb7d393f374762bd3a1629941cd231b52e17e947b2d2e03fd0e8810

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv07l4mx006kr6w0g4srmrpe",
 "edge": 0.017726,
 "fairOdds": 2.59,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynmwv02fnjv04m8onzqd6",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T00:09:01.862Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.58,
 "modelProbability": 0.386476,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000746.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000746.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T12:02:05.190Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 32.8% · DRAW 28.5% · AWAY 38.6%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-09 00:09Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-09 00:09Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H24_48
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.58
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 8 · previous MQ-000746.v7

1X2 · AWAY · 40.1% · confidence 94 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 2.50
Market price: 2.47
Probability gap: 1.4 percentage points
Generated: Sat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Published: Sat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 12:02 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTCe3fee…3612

e3fee6fd8335680724c0b1a8963b3315774ff54c9cb051894c2c161323713612

{
 "confidenceScore": 94,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv26f2pf008sr65x0m9ky12i",
 "edge": 0.014147,
 "fairOdds": 2.5,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynmwv02fnjv04m8onzqd6",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.47,
 "modelProbability": 0.400625,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000746.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000746.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 12:02 UTC85e16…7cde

85e1672ccd741b38327cc9b9799f2fac87b386b0a30cdaa193b5ff7dbea57cde

{
 "confidenceScore": 94,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv26f2pf008sr65x0m9ky12i",
 "edge": 0.014147,
 "fairOdds": 2.5,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynmwv02fnjv04m8onzqd6",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.47,
 "modelProbability": 0.400625,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000746.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000746.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T12:02:05.190Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 30.4% · DRAW 29.5% · AWAY 40.1%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-10 09:11Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-10 09:11Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H1_6
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.47
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 9 · previous MQ-000746.v8

1X2 · AWAY · 38.6% · confidence 93 · reason: Official lineup

בוטל

Fair price: 2.59
Market price: 2.47
Probability gap: 0 percentage points
Generated: Sat 10 Oct · 11:08 UTC
Published: Sat 10 Oct · 11:08 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 12:02 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 11:08 UTCefde9…2744

efde9a7c7c25e9271186d1f186ab1c1c78a2dc1d86357a2f27b572aa805f2744

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 82,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv2apqcm00brr67sfvlvbh90",
 "edge": -0.000002,
 "fairOdds": 2.59,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynmwv02fnjv04m8onzqd6",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T11:08:25.865Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.47,
 "modelProbability": 0.386476,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000746.v9",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000746.v8",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T11:08:25.865Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 12:02 UTCff1c7…4d33

ff1c7da4da2ee6e15e5c784be50ec951ac50666471fcc9592bfd617a4ad34d33

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 82,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv2apqcm00brr67sfvlvbh90",
 "edge": -0.000002,
 "fairOdds": 2.59,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynmwv02fnjv04m8onzqd6",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T11:08:25.865Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.47,
 "modelProbability": 0.386476,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000746.v9",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000746.v8",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T12:02:05.190Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 32.8% · DRAW 28.5% · AWAY 38.6%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-10 11:08Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-10 11:08Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H1_6
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.47
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 10 · previous MQ-000746.v9

1X2 · AWAY · 40.0% · confidence 97 · reason: Model refresh

החטאה

Fair price: 2.50
Market price: 2.52
Probability gap: 2.1 percentage points
Generated: Sat 10 Oct · 12:10 UTC
Published: Sat 10 Oct · 12:10 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 12:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 12:10 UTC41586…87d5

41586a0e3b619169ead8dcf0665fc387265abed472593442f950b685291f87d5

{
 "confidenceScore": 97,
 "dataQualityScore": 97,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv2ct4y0002kr6uq9numicam",
 "edge": 0.020599,
 "fairOdds": 2.5,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynmwv02fnjv04m8onzqd6",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T12:10:57.413Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.52,
 "modelProbability": 0.400201,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000746.v10",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000746.v9",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T12:10:57.413Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 12:32 UTCa8564…7814

a8564a58397bc6adef12bd8baf15a7753aea72b887f3f29d081f2150b3107814

{
 "confidenceScore": 97,
 "dataQualityScore": 97,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv2ct4y0002kr6uq9numicam",
 "edge": 0.020599,
 "fairOdds": 2.5,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynmwv02fnjv04m8onzqd6",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T12:10:57.413Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.52,
 "modelProbability": 0.400201,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000746.v10",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000746.v9",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T12:32:05.437Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 30.4% · DRAW 29.5% · AWAY 40.0%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-10 12:10Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-10 12:10Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H1_6
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.52
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.