MQ-000747
Aston Villa v Brentford · Premier League · Sat 10 Oct · 14:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.80
- Market price
- 1.67
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 0.9 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 6 Oct · 15:15 UTC
- Published
- Tue 6 Oct · 15:15 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 10 Oct · 12:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 6 Oct · 15:15 UTCdec75…6f57
{
"confidenceScore": 94,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuwtov3n00esr60g3y2vracp",
"edge": -0.008643,
"fairOdds": 1.8,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynmwv02fnjv04m8onzqd6",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-06T15:15:58.841Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.67,
"modelProbability": 0.556461,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000747",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-06T15:15:58.841Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 12:02 UTC4b009…6cb4
{
"confidenceScore": 94,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuwtov3n00esr60g3y2vracp",
"edge": -0.008643,
"fairOdds": 1.8,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynmwv02fnjv04m8onzqd6",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-06T15:15:58.841Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.67,
"modelProbability": 0.556461,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000747",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-10T12:02:05.190Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 55.6% · UNDER 44.4%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-06 15:15Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-06 15:15Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.67
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000747
- Fair price
- 1.83
- Market price
- 1.67
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 1.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Thu 8 Oct · 15:10 UTC
- Published
- Thu 8 Oct · 15:10 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 10 Oct · 12:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 8 Oct · 15:10 UTC4ba36…d1c0
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuzodb200094r6da8vfgpuiw",
"edge": -0.018262,
"fairOdds": 1.83,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynmwv02fnjv04m8onzqd6",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-08T15:10:59.262Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.67,
"modelProbability": 0.545707,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000747.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000747",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-08T15:10:59.262Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 12:02 UTCa001d…bafd
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuzodb200094r6da8vfgpuiw",
"edge": -0.018262,
"fairOdds": 1.83,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynmwv02fnjv04m8onzqd6",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-08T15:10:59.262Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.67,
"modelProbability": 0.545707,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000747.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000747",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-10T12:02:05.190Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 54.6% · UNDER 45.4%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-08 15:10Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-08 15:10Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.67
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.