MQ-000759
Inter v Parma · Serie A · Sat 10 Oct · 16:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.67
- Market price
- 1.35
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 10.3 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTC
- Published
- Tue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 10 Oct · 14:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTC97f4b…94f3
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuwzrcmo002wr6qb8tsv8hoy",
"edge": -0.102744,
"fairOdds": 1.67,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynnum02gvjv044ju2ywdk",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.35,
"modelProbability": 0.600553,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000759",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:02 UTC3f025…d0da
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuwzrcmo002wr6qb8tsv8hoy",
"edge": -0.102744,
"fairOdds": 1.67,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynnum02gvjv044ju2ywdk",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.35,
"modelProbability": 0.600553,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000759",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:02:00.916Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 60.1% · UNDER 39.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-06 18:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-06 18:06Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.35
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000759
- Fair price
- 1.70
- Market price
- 1.35
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 11.5 percentage points
- Generated
- Fri 9 Oct · 00:09 UTC
- Published
- Fri 9 Oct · 00:09 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 10 Oct · 14:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordFri 9 Oct · 00:09 UTC1b2dc…97b3
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv07lhs70080r6w0rr57lu35",
"edge": -0.115274,
"fairOdds": 1.7,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynnum02gvjv044ju2ywdk",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-09T00:09:01.862Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.35,
"modelProbability": 0.588023,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000759.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000759",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-09T00:09:01.862Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:02 UTC33205…7196
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv07lhs70080r6w0rr57lu35",
"edge": -0.115274,
"fairOdds": 1.7,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynnum02gvjv044ju2ywdk",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-09T00:09:01.862Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.35,
"modelProbability": 0.588023,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000759.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000759",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:02:00.916Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 58.8% · UNDER 41.2%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-09 00:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-09 00:09Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.35
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000759.v2
- Fair price
- 1.70
- Market price
- 1.40
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 8.3 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 10 Oct · 15:14 UTC
- Published
- Sat 10 Oct · 15:14 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 10 Oct · 15:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 15:14 UTC02e31…12af
{
"confidenceScore": 95,
"dataQualityScore": 97,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv2jco160011r6xi49r8hw80",
"edge": -0.083469,
"fairOdds": 1.7,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynnum02gvjv044ju2ywdk",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-10T15:14:32.307Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.4,
"modelProbability": 0.587893,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000759.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000759.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-10T15:14:32.307Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 15:32 UTCaac89…207c
{
"confidenceScore": 95,
"dataQualityScore": 97,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv2jco160011r6xi49r8hw80",
"edge": -0.083469,
"fairOdds": 1.7,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynnum02gvjv044ju2ywdk",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-10T15:14:32.307Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.4,
"modelProbability": 0.587893,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000759.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000759.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-10T15:32:00.822Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 58.8% · UNDER 41.2%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-10 15:14Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-10 15:14Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H0_1
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.40
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.