PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000761

MQ-000761

Barcelona v Getafe · La Liga · Sat 10 Oct · 16:30 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

1X2 · HOME · 73.9% · confidence 94

בוטל

Fair price: 1.35
Market price: 1.06
Probability gap: 16.2 percentage points
Generated: Tue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTC
Published: Tue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordTue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTCd8265…40d7

d82653bef21a92b0d28d8628a821af654c7b371161ed2ea17204a7e1032540d7

{
 "confidenceScore": 94,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuwzrip4004qr6qbyyhzms88",
 "edge": -0.161549,
 "fairOdds": 1.35,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.06,
 "modelProbability": 0.739024,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000761",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC4d526…a25d

4d5260a855ce9f548ad6df5c57fd58fc5bdf4cd04ff33a39c8c23b70bcbea25d

{
 "confidenceScore": 94,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuwzrip4004qr6qbyyhzms88",
 "edge": -0.161549,
 "fairOdds": 1.35,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.06,
 "modelProbability": 0.739024,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000761",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 73.9% · DRAW 20.0% · AWAY 6.1%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-06 18:06Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-06 18:06Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.06
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000761

1X2 · HOME · 75.8% · confidence 94 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.32
Market price: 1.06
Probability gap: 14.1 percentage points
Generated: Wed 7 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Published: Wed 7 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordWed 7 Oct · 09:11 UTCccb92…99f6

ccb92af19c3d7c9972d9bbe94cb408977626b6810ebb72746d5ae81dd9ec99f6

{
 "confidenceScore": 94,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuxw3u2w007ir605o15uhpj2",
 "edge": -0.140903,
 "fairOdds": 1.32,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T09:11:22.183Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.06,
 "modelProbability": 0.757894,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000761.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000761",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-07T09:11:22.183Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTCa56a2…22ad

a56a200c874e6edff4d5b9c0eb697ebb793976fbcae245eb162858fe69a522ad

{
 "confidenceScore": 94,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuxw3u2w007ir605o15uhpj2",
 "edge": -0.140903,
 "fairOdds": 1.32,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T09:11:22.183Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.06,
 "modelProbability": 0.757894,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000761.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000761",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 75.8% · DRAW 18.0% · AWAY 6.2%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-07 09:11Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-07 09:11Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.06
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000761.v2

1X2 · HOME · 73.9% · confidence 94 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.35
Market price: 1.07
Probability gap: 15.5 percentage points
Generated: Wed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC
Published: Wed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordWed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTCe5503…8a59

e5503561442aaaef1a8f954ea76d1248d3c10c3e884f1fe50ae66929de148a59

{
 "confidenceScore": 94,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuyfb3mr008er68kmelhuukq",
 "edge": -0.154907,
 "fairOdds": 1.35,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.07,
 "modelProbability": 0.739024,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000761.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000761.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC4aeb1…1c85

4aeb12ef5db23e2df81db515ceb9c05fb1dbc9b59d41bac9ddb3ff4e10971c85

{
 "confidenceScore": 94,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuyfb3mr008er68kmelhuukq",
 "edge": -0.154907,
 "fairOdds": 1.35,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.07,
 "modelProbability": 0.739024,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000761.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000761.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 73.9% · DRAW 20.0% · AWAY 6.1%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-07 18:09Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-07 18:09Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H48_72
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.07
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 4 · previous MQ-000761.v3

1X2 · HOME · 75.8% · confidence 93 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.32
Market price: 1.07
Probability gap: 13.2 percentage points
Generated: Thu 8 Oct · 09:16 UTC
Published: Thu 8 Oct · 09:16 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordThu 8 Oct · 09:16 UTCe76a7…e959

e76a7f2dcca9717b2988a36589329f39b1e2d2d6d27c2a6227f790253bd5e959

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzbt4h60098r6l8cmamns9c",
 "edge": -0.132152,
 "fairOdds": 1.32,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T09:16:31.392Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.07,
 "modelProbability": 0.757894,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000761.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000761.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-08T09:16:31.392Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTCa8acf…e22b

a8acf024d2a73de2e4ef238f99abd819825d8c354d82469c097bbedeb86be22b

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzbt4h60098r6l8cmamns9c",
 "edge": -0.132152,
 "fairOdds": 1.32,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T09:16:31.392Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.07,
 "modelProbability": 0.757894,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000761.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000761.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 75.8% · DRAW 18.0% · AWAY 6.2%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-08 09:16Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-08 09:16Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H48_72
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.07
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 5 · previous MQ-000761.v4

1X2 · HOME · 73.9% · confidence 94 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.35
Market price: 1.07
Probability gap: 15.1 percentage points
Generated: Thu 8 Oct · 15:10 UTC
Published: Thu 8 Oct · 15:10 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordThu 8 Oct · 15:10 UTC21032…0eb2

210322ef5eca461990368a993c0d0affbe92e0571769658a8e7df8a09a880eb2

{
 "confidenceScore": 94,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzodz9w00cwr6dae52bynl3",
 "edge": -0.151125,
 "fairOdds": 1.35,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T15:10:59.262Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.07,
 "modelProbability": 0.739024,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000761.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000761.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-08T15:10:59.262Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC031cf…2beb

031cf6fb78d3527757128f4199dc252673d183e47cb7a562ab505568d3942beb

{
 "confidenceScore": 94,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzodz9w00cwr6dae52bynl3",
 "edge": -0.151125,
 "fairOdds": 1.35,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T15:10:59.262Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.07,
 "modelProbability": 0.739024,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000761.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000761.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 73.9% · DRAW 20.0% · AWAY 6.1%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-08 15:10Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-08 15:10Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H48_72
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.07
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 6 · previous MQ-000761.v5

1X2 · HOME · 75.8% · confidence 93 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.32
Market price: 1.07
Probability gap: 13.4 percentage points
Generated: Fri 9 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Published: Fri 9 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordFri 9 Oct · 09:11 UTCdbbfe…6eb6

dbbfeefac57bc65ae9467632c0a8d7e6ecbef6259a3ad8938bea83c2f8626eb6

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv0r028p008gr6a3xwoiau0z",
 "edge": -0.133633,
 "fairOdds": 1.32,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T09:11:45.583Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.07,
 "modelProbability": 0.757894,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000761.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000761.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T09:11:45.583Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTCe6826…1b28

e6826b7c375aa6eeb50f47a4897cdc94c4bf8a3759340c31b04ed402e2091b28

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv0r028p008gr6a3xwoiau0z",
 "edge": -0.133633,
 "fairOdds": 1.32,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T09:11:45.583Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.07,
 "modelProbability": 0.757894,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000761.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000761.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 75.8% · DRAW 18.0% · AWAY 6.2%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-09 09:11Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-09 09:11Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H24_48
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.07
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 7 · previous MQ-000761.v6

1X2 · HOME · 73.2% · confidence 92 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.37
Market price: 1.07
Probability gap: 15.5 percentage points
Generated: Fri 9 Oct · 15:13 UTC
Published: Fri 9 Oct · 15:13 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordFri 9 Oct · 15:13 UTC99101…5c67

99101b878c896eff0fc28e851833b892b6cd697575cb0c97b8cfce6ee5df5c67

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv13xoi8009sr6j3q96ru8gp",
 "edge": -0.154762,
 "fairOdds": 1.37,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T15:13:49.571Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.07,
 "modelProbability": 0.732116,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000761.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000761.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T15:13:49.571Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTCeeb68…a1da

eeb6838013f6c7bc3a2ddd7b10232cfdb373c6bf96768ce50082ba9d043ba1da

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv13xoi8009sr6j3q96ru8gp",
 "edge": -0.154762,
 "fairOdds": 1.37,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T15:13:49.571Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.07,
 "modelProbability": 0.732116,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000761.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000761.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 73.2% · DRAW 20.5% · AWAY 6.3%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-09 15:13Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-09 15:13Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H24_48
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.07
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 8 · previous MQ-000761.v7

1X2 · HOME · 70.8% · confidence 93 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.41
Market price: 1.08
Probability gap: 17.9 percentage points
Generated: Fri 9 Oct · 18:09 UTC
Published: Fri 9 Oct · 18:09 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordFri 9 Oct · 18:09 UTC05360…5b2e

05360c8c6519006bbd94fad98b194e09ff62703580f9868759a7602ae4b75b2e

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv1a7txk004br62nbl2exlyw",
 "edge": -0.179136,
 "fairOdds": 1.41,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T18:09:54.581Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.08,
 "modelProbability": 0.707797,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000761.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000761.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T18:09:54.581Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC9061f…882a

9061f12697efcc8b5044516bd3a4b7ff6e3a5faec63fab9c3bd61adee276882a

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv1a7txk004br62nbl2exlyw",
 "edge": -0.179136,
 "fairOdds": 1.41,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T18:09:54.581Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.08,
 "modelProbability": 0.707797,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000761.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000761.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 70.8% · DRAW 19.9% · AWAY 9.4%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-09 18:09Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-09 18:09Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H12_24
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.08
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 9 · previous MQ-000761.v8

1X2 · HOME · 73.9% · confidence 93 · reason: Model refresh

פגיעה

Fair price: 1.35
Market price: 1.08
Probability gap: 14.7 percentage points
Generated: Sat 10 Oct · 00:09 UTC
Published: Sat 10 Oct · 00:09 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 00:09 UTCa7138…0afa

a71385a6ed42a5a49bbf6daad5a916108f12d2997bba411c64c1f49ec6f60afa

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv1n1uyb0038r6f06zd9hc2s",
 "edge": -0.146622,
 "fairOdds": 1.35,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T00:09:26.631Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.08,
 "modelProbability": 0.739024,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000761.v9",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000761.v8",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T00:09:26.631Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC1dac5…672f

1dac5d993760265fde67dba10bb8a93cc4a7616ff24f87979eb9369f452a672f

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv1n1uyb0038r6f06zd9hc2s",
 "edge": -0.146622,
 "fairOdds": 1.35,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T00:09:26.631Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.08,
 "modelProbability": 0.739024,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000761.v9",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000761.v8",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 73.9% · DRAW 20.0% · AWAY 6.1%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-10 00:09Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-10 00:09Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H12_24
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.08
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.