PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000762

MQ-000762

Barcelona v Getafe · La Liga · Sat 10 Oct · 16:30 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

OU25 · OVER · 52.4% · confidence 94

בוטל

Fair price: 1.91
Market price: 1.21
Probability gap: 25.5 percentage points
Generated: Tue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTC
Published: Tue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordTue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTCe9f42…52bd

e9f42a0ce7de2aff3e869e5ab61468e741fa3b5a64a47faceff4bf47173152bd

{
 "confidenceScore": 94,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuwzrip4004qr6qbyyhzms88",
 "edge": -0.25539,
 "fairOdds": 1.91,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.21,
 "modelProbability": 0.523807,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000762",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTCc2e4d…dcf9

c2e4dfcc0200d9e65c52d6fc1ab99d8930497d1560d5f7b20909736be1c9dcf9

{
 "confidenceScore": 94,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuwzrip4004qr6qbyyhzms88",
 "edge": -0.25539,
 "fairOdds": 1.91,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.21,
 "modelProbability": 0.523807,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000762",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: OVER 52.4% · UNDER 47.6%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-06 18:06Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-06 18:06Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.21
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000762

OU25 · OVER · 54.7% · confidence 94 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.83
Market price: 1.22
Probability gap: 23.2 percentage points
Generated: Wed 7 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Published: Wed 7 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordWed 7 Oct · 09:11 UTCddf79…371a

ddf79582b2d99485080006b79b5fad7085d5c4a91b8ab4eb6dfb832c1e40371a

{
 "confidenceScore": 94,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuxw3u2w007ir605o15uhpj2",
 "edge": -0.232305,
 "fairOdds": 1.83,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T09:11:22.183Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.22,
 "modelProbability": 0.546681,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000762.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000762",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-07T09:11:22.183Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC257aa…065d

257aaad01967be37fd55260a49290ed80c18be62749a905c54ac86da5a45065d

{
 "confidenceScore": 94,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuxw3u2w007ir605o15uhpj2",
 "edge": -0.232305,
 "fairOdds": 1.83,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T09:11:22.183Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.22,
 "modelProbability": 0.546681,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000762.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000762",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: OVER 54.7% · UNDER 45.3%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-07 09:11Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-07 09:11Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.22
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000762.v2

OU25 · OVER · 52.4% · confidence 94 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.91
Market price: 1.23
Probability gap: 24.6 percentage points
Generated: Wed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC
Published: Wed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordWed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTCf479e…ffce

f479e0bfae752fd2060f4045c487d06383bb7be745b426856dcb18599f88ffce

{
 "confidenceScore": 94,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuyfb3mr008er68kmelhuukq",
 "edge": -0.245725,
 "fairOdds": 1.91,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.23,
 "modelProbability": 0.523938,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000762.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000762.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC545d6…4f06

545d6b73c9e012bdcb87834b1ce8b12390f33a3a58f19678a95de864f90c4f06

{
 "confidenceScore": 94,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuyfb3mr008er68kmelhuukq",
 "edge": -0.245725,
 "fairOdds": 1.91,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.23,
 "modelProbability": 0.523938,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000762.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000762.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: OVER 52.4% · UNDER 47.6%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-07 18:09Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-07 18:09Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H48_72
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.23
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 4 · previous MQ-000762.v3

OU25 · OVER · 54.4% · confidence 93 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.84
Market price: 1.23
Probability gap: 22.5 percentage points
Generated: Thu 8 Oct · 09:16 UTC
Published: Thu 8 Oct · 09:16 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordThu 8 Oct · 09:16 UTCa163e…092d

a163e34705407f32ce5f1b306611fc67ed9553ab5ae2554e5aa5a34d08fe092d

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzbt4h60098r6l8cmamns9c",
 "edge": -0.225176,
 "fairOdds": 1.84,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T09:16:31.392Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.23,
 "modelProbability": 0.544487,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000762.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000762.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-08T09:16:31.392Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC3b89a…a8a3

3b89aef4402761235392c3fc68f1375063bafaf793878b5e6d49d483db11a8a3

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzbt4h60098r6l8cmamns9c",
 "edge": -0.225176,
 "fairOdds": 1.84,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T09:16:31.392Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.23,
 "modelProbability": 0.544487,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000762.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000762.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: OVER 54.4% · UNDER 45.6%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-08 09:16Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-08 09:16Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H48_72
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.23
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 5 · previous MQ-000762.v4

OU25 · OVER · 52.2% · confidence 94 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.92
Market price: 1.23
Probability gap: 24.8 percentage points
Generated: Thu 8 Oct · 15:10 UTC
Published: Thu 8 Oct · 15:10 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordThu 8 Oct · 15:10 UTCe8a1a…b631

e8a1a5ce54f8a9379a4888531fa9f21a01509743ba1ec1a51a7c936eedcdb631

{
 "confidenceScore": 94,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzodz9w00cwr6dae52bynl3",
 "edge": -0.247916,
 "fairOdds": 1.92,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T15:10:59.262Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.23,
 "modelProbability": 0.521747,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000762.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000762.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-08T15:10:59.262Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC461a9…5783

461a9c0dbd5cbc9cd8fe98891ff1a8be2b8b47d47f792ce226dc25f83bba5783

{
 "confidenceScore": 94,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzodz9w00cwr6dae52bynl3",
 "edge": -0.247916,
 "fairOdds": 1.92,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T15:10:59.262Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.23,
 "modelProbability": 0.521747,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000762.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000762.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: OVER 52.2% · UNDER 47.8%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-08 15:10Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-08 15:10Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H48_72
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.23
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 6 · previous MQ-000762.v5

OU25 · OVER · 54.2% · confidence 93 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.84
Market price: 1.24
Probability gap: 22.1 percentage points
Generated: Fri 9 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Published: Fri 9 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordFri 9 Oct · 09:11 UTC50367…b015

5036724c7f927d220494a2d55b64275b0c1eab32bbf22091e783b11b2a73b015

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv0r028p008gr6a3xwoiau0z",
 "edge": -0.220614,
 "fairOdds": 1.84,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T09:11:45.583Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.24,
 "modelProbability": 0.542292,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000762.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000762.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T09:11:45.583Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC2dcd8…041f

2dcd8b89f25382f30510b50930640a6753633132e1f9ac96518961b5e489041f

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv0r028p008gr6a3xwoiau0z",
 "edge": -0.220614,
 "fairOdds": 1.84,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T09:11:45.583Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.24,
 "modelProbability": 0.542292,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000762.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000762.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: OVER 54.2% · UNDER 45.8%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-09 09:11Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-09 09:11Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H24_48
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.24
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 7 · previous MQ-000762.v6

OU25 · OVER · 51.7% · confidence 92 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.93
Market price: 1.27
Probability gap: 23 percentage points
Generated: Fri 9 Oct · 15:13 UTC
Published: Fri 9 Oct · 15:13 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordFri 9 Oct · 15:13 UTC85e91…f012

85e91acdd52f89c9b4898bc7687163e7fecea189a57b014b59d17f9068e0f012

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv13xoi8009sr6j3q96ru8gp",
 "edge": -0.229769,
 "fairOdds": 1.93,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T15:13:49.571Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.27,
 "modelProbability": 0.517243,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000762.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000762.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T15:13:49.571Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC8853b…e188

8853b1672be8ba6f9bd5522066393345f272c939710d4b9da4e29a3b8272e188

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv13xoi8009sr6j3q96ru8gp",
 "edge": -0.229769,
 "fairOdds": 1.93,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T15:13:49.571Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.27,
 "modelProbability": 0.517243,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000762.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000762.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: OVER 51.7% · UNDER 48.3%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-09 15:13Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-09 15:13Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H24_48
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.27
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 8 · previous MQ-000762.v7

OU25 · OVER · 53.0% · confidence 92 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.89
Market price: 1.28
Probability gap: 20.6 percentage points
Generated: Sat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Published: Sat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTC25a33…1782

25a333b0f5f01a016c78409255972e5d9d48422653378aeed3cae654ba811782

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv26frmx00axr65xz6kzhx5p",
 "edge": -0.205787,
 "fairOdds": 1.89,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.28,
 "modelProbability": 0.52975,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000762.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000762.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC0400e…b040

0400e343072bb53f5feb771a0c4a3995a4dd5ae310cdfde9e22879d14ee4b040

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv26frmx00axr65xz6kzhx5p",
 "edge": -0.205787,
 "fairOdds": 1.89,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.28,
 "modelProbability": 0.52975,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000762.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000762.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: OVER 53.0% · UNDER 47.0%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-10 09:11Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-10 09:11Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H6_12
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.28
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 9 · previous MQ-000762.v8

OU25 · OVER · 52.2% · confidence 93 · reason: Market price update

פגיעה

Fair price: 1.92
Market price: 1.26
Probability gap: 22.9 percentage points
Generated: Sat 10 Oct · 12:10 UTC
Published: Sat 10 Oct · 12:10 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 12:10 UTCf5ea9…9347

f5ea9673d395bdd5d16ea915246b81af60de17bf60f07d7a305f8ffee4ce9347

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv2ctw2h004pr6uq7r0i4qlg",
 "edge": -0.228615,
 "fairOdds": 1.92,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T12:10:57.413Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.26,
 "modelProbability": 0.52188,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000762.v9",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000762.v8",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T12:10:57.413Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC6dfa0…5bd2

6dfa069cbaf273a4275d45e9b32396c44b84b6013c5364610907be7482475bd2

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv2ctw2h004pr6uq7r0i4qlg",
 "edge": -0.228615,
 "fairOdds": 1.92,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T12:10:57.413Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.26,
 "modelProbability": 0.52188,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000762.v9",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000762.v8",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: OVER 52.2% · UNDER 47.8%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-10 12:10Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-10 12:10Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H1_6
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.26
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.