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PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000763

MQ-000763

Barcelona v Getafe · La Liga · Sat 10 Oct · 16:30 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

BTTS · NO · 57.2% · confidence 94
בוטל
Fair price
1.75
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Tue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTC
Published
Tue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTC
Locked
Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTC03694…9724
0369497d4efbad8143f03eb5e57f40189d7fa60d3e91b3779eb78c45e95c9724
{
 "confidenceScore": 94,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuwzrip4004qr6qbyyhzms88",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.75,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.571675,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000763",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
 "selection": "NO"
}
Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC91748…f152
91748cd9d5005282dec5515e4cd971ca39b11d31eef514a0357558f234a6f152
{
 "confidenceScore": 94,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuwzrip4004qr6qbyyhzms88",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.75,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.571675,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000763",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "NO"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 42.8% · NO 57.2%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-10-06 18:06Z
Information cutoff
2026-10-06 18:06Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H72_PLUS
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000763

BTTS · NO · 55.9% · confidence 92 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.79
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Fri 9 Oct · 15:13 UTC
Published
Fri 9 Oct · 15:13 UTC
Locked
Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordFri 9 Oct · 15:13 UTC1e8c0…4b7f
1e8c020843228be532e6fc755fec144a7cde1db765ad41a1e89bd00ed9d64b7f
{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv13xoi8009sr6j3q96ru8gp",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.79,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T15:13:49.571Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.558965,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000763.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000763",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T15:13:49.571Z",
 "selection": "NO"
}
Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTCfa782…41b3
fa782581403c54625989e0e0d3b91f01efaee5fc3794d013d84bd389f26641b3
{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv13xoi8009sr6j3q96ru8gp",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.79,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T15:13:49.571Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.558965,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000763.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000763",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "NO"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 44.1% · NO 55.9%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-10-09 15:13Z
Information cutoff
2026-10-09 15:13Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H24_48
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000763.v2

BTTS · NO · 57.4% · confidence 93 · reason: Model refresh
פגיעה
Fair price
1.74
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sat 10 Oct · 00:09 UTC
Published
Sat 10 Oct · 00:09 UTC
Locked
Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 00:09 UTCeb60d…89e1
eb60d54f9293304364802dab36fe496addbe5657cb1386174eaa964d82af89e1
{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv1n1uyb0038r6f06zd9hc2s",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.74,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T00:09:26.631Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.574119,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000763.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000763.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T00:09:26.631Z",
 "selection": "NO"
}
Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTCb7bf8…d4bf
b7bf87fc4f8d2bcd6f779d40a80aeb5dd1db82a668163492fb1fc8681d0dd4bf
{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv1n1uyb0038r6f06zd9hc2s",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.74,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnhr02gdjv044hs3roks",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T00:09:26.631Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.574119,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000763.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000763.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "NO"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 42.6% · NO 57.4%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-10-10 00:09Z
Information cutoff
2026-10-10 00:09Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.