MQ-000764
RB Leipzig v Ein Frankfurt · Bundesliga · Sat 10 Oct · 16:30 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.77
- Market price
- 1.54
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 5.1 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTC
- Published
- Tue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTCa552b…e741
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuwzrork006qr6qbkpkuwxjv",
"edge": -0.051028,
"fairOdds": 1.77,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynos202i3jv04qg8ozozf",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.54,
"modelProbability": 0.56369,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000764",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC23df2…5914
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuwzrork006qr6qbkpkuwxjv",
"edge": -0.051028,
"fairOdds": 1.77,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynos202i3jv04qg8ozozf",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.54,
"modelProbability": 0.56369,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000764",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 56.4% · DRAW 24.0% · AWAY 19.6%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-06 18:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-06 18:06Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.54
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000764
- Fair price
- 1.69
- Market price
- 1.57
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 1.4 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTC
- Published
- Sat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTC4eb37…09ab
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv26fxsv00bwr65x5jyg5ar5",
"edge": -0.01381,
"fairOdds": 1.69,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynos202i3jv04qg8ozozf",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.57,
"modelProbability": 0.591718,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000764.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000764",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTCe34dc…e066
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv26fxsv00bwr65x5jyg5ar5",
"edge": -0.01381,
"fairOdds": 1.69,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynos202i3jv04qg8ozozf",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.57,
"modelProbability": 0.591718,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000764.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000764",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 59.2% · DRAW 21.0% · AWAY 19.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-10 09:11Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-10 09:11Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.57
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.