MQ-000765
RB Leipzig v Ein Frankfurt · Bundesliga · Sat 10 Oct · 16:30 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.45
- Market price
- 1.30
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 3.6 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTC
- Published
- Tue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTC2a100…1c8e
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuwzrork006qr6qbkpkuwxjv",
"edge": -0.035913,
"fairOdds": 1.45,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynos202i3jv04qg8ozozf",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.3,
"modelProbability": 0.690978,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000765",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTCff6e6…126e
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuwzrork006qr6qbkpkuwxjv",
"edge": -0.035913,
"fairOdds": 1.45,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynos202i3jv04qg8ozozf",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.3,
"modelProbability": 0.690978,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000765",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 69.1% · UNDER 30.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-06 18:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-06 18:06Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.30
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000765
- Fair price
- 1.41
- Market price
- 1.27
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 3.5 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTC
- Published
- Sat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTC93b00…8ef1
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv26fxsv00bwr65x5jyg5ar5",
"edge": -0.034569,
"fairOdds": 1.41,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynos202i3jv04qg8ozozf",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.27,
"modelProbability": 0.708346,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000765.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000765",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTCd925c…9321
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv26fxsv00bwr65x5jyg5ar5",
"edge": -0.034569,
"fairOdds": 1.41,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynos202i3jv04qg8ozozf",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.27,
"modelProbability": 0.708346,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000765.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000765",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 70.8% · UNDER 29.2%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-10 09:11Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-10 09:11Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.27
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.