PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000767

MQ-000767

Man United v Tottenham · Premier League · Sat 10 Oct · 16:30 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

1X2 · HOME · 66.8% · confidence 92

בוטל

Fair price: 1.50
Market price: 1.71
Probability gap: 11.3 percentage points
Generated: Tue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTC
Published: Tue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordTue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTC524af…9148

524af5deb16e2387a9443db45bab60d8ad1c5cb83f34e59c1a2e01d5de879148

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuwzruxp008qr6qb5brv10k8",
 "edge": 0.112752,
 "fairOdds": 1.5,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.71,
 "modelProbability": 0.668159,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000767",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTCaac75…a162

aac75c8088ac62b873ef3789c4883a49a0c7c66f23674fd6d674d781a0d2a162

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuwzruxp008qr6qb5brv10k8",
 "edge": 0.112752,
 "fairOdds": 1.5,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.71,
 "modelProbability": 0.668159,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000767",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 66.8% · DRAW 22.9% · AWAY 10.3%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-06 18:06Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-06 18:06Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.71
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000767

1X2 · HOME · 64.8% · confidence 93 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.54
Market price: 1.70
Probability gap: 8.9 percentage points
Generated: Wed 7 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Published: Wed 7 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordWed 7 Oct · 09:11 UTC92176…9a4b

921769fdd261d92f412d6c0e3de904519afad0bde75325ef608942dea4f59a4b

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuxw44t80094r605nkasn6jc",
 "edge": 0.088548,
 "fairOdds": 1.54,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T09:11:22.183Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.7,
 "modelProbability": 0.64791,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000767.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000767",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-07T09:11:22.183Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC4854f…e1bb

4854f0b5fcbb889fa33b6ae22d5919538bf91cf46a833f0b9cfdb3ef07cae1bb

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuxw44t80094r605nkasn6jc",
 "edge": 0.088548,
 "fairOdds": 1.54,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T09:11:22.183Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.7,
 "modelProbability": 0.64791,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000767.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000767",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 64.8% · DRAW 23.5% · AWAY 11.7%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-07 09:11Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-07 09:11Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.70
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000767.v2

1X2 · HOME · 66.8% · confidence 92 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.50
Market price: 1.70
Probability gap: 10.9 percentage points
Generated: Wed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC
Published: Wed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordWed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC3b415…44e1

3b415be990faa5db14de24d6eaa7d46f57b6692555fffd72d163e34d98cd44e1

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuyfbc0u00a4r68kczyg8hub",
 "edge": 0.109066,
 "fairOdds": 1.5,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.7,
 "modelProbability": 0.668159,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000767.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000767.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC1ffa8…5404

1ffa856679c4ffe5ca08f0ab221d4f3379938d63f88eee310954cb73fcd15404

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuyfbc0u00a4r68kczyg8hub",
 "edge": 0.109066,
 "fairOdds": 1.5,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.7,
 "modelProbability": 0.668159,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000767.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000767.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 66.8% · DRAW 22.9% · AWAY 10.3%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-07 18:09Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-07 18:09Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H48_72
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.70
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 4 · previous MQ-000767.v3

1X2 · HOME · 64.8% · confidence 93 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.54
Market price: 1.70
Probability gap: 8.8 percentage points
Generated: Thu 8 Oct · 09:16 UTC
Published: Thu 8 Oct · 09:16 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordThu 8 Oct · 09:16 UTCe267e…3fae

e267ec92daa3628b7907ded72d4673cac5b17309d302bc7ee0dc55c5b0203fae

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzbtrrk00ayr6l8r83osko2",
 "edge": 0.088317,
 "fairOdds": 1.54,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T09:16:31.392Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.7,
 "modelProbability": 0.64791,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000767.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000767.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-08T09:16:31.392Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC4040e…9462

4040e81284ec14821277b880959ec8936b9d591cbc30b9d625a7a399c2c49462

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzbtrrk00ayr6l8r83osko2",
 "edge": 0.088317,
 "fairOdds": 1.54,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T09:16:31.392Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.7,
 "modelProbability": 0.64791,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000767.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000767.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 64.8% · DRAW 23.5% · AWAY 11.7%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-08 09:16Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-08 09:16Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H48_72
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.70
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 5 · previous MQ-000767.v4

1X2 · HOME · 66.8% · confidence 92 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.50
Market price: 1.70
Probability gap: 10.8 percentage points
Generated: Thu 8 Oct · 15:10 UTC
Published: Thu 8 Oct · 15:10 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordThu 8 Oct · 15:10 UTC1e409…9309

1e409b4644bd16784cde518f339b6bcfefdab732d15374ab376075ac541c9309

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzoe7mr00emr6da3trks4a0",
 "edge": 0.107958,
 "fairOdds": 1.5,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T15:10:59.262Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.7,
 "modelProbability": 0.668159,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000767.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000767.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-08T15:10:59.262Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC334a5…cbb2

334a54fcd88143d597fc554fb60d180d97f265ec513336976b4a3e1dac40cbb2

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzoe7mr00emr6da3trks4a0",
 "edge": 0.107958,
 "fairOdds": 1.5,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T15:10:59.262Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.7,
 "modelProbability": 0.668159,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000767.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000767.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 66.8% · DRAW 22.9% · AWAY 10.3%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-08 15:10Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-08 15:10Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H48_72
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.70
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 6 · previous MQ-000767.v5

1X2 · HOME · 68.9% · confidence 90 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.45
Market price: 1.70
Probability gap: 12.8 percentage points
Generated: Thu 8 Oct · 21:14 UTC
Published: Thu 8 Oct · 21:14 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordThu 8 Oct · 21:14 UTCfe7f1…50a4

fe7f1087a2b7641fcd112a4c12eb4708ec51abb87e9dfc52142282376a8c50a4

{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv01dvct008er60x3gb5lukl",
 "edge": 0.128132,
 "fairOdds": 1.45,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T21:14:49.994Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.7,
 "modelProbability": 0.689202,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000767.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000767.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-08T21:14:49.994Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC0304c…bd93

0304caecd8be340a69d9b7d86d32c61a4410ad7dbd84c1f7790a87b67d49bd93

{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv01dvct008er60x3gb5lukl",
 "edge": 0.128132,
 "fairOdds": 1.45,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T21:14:49.994Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.7,
 "modelProbability": 0.689202,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000767.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000767.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 68.9% · DRAW 21.5% · AWAY 9.6%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-08 21:14Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-08 21:14Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H24_48
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.70
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 7 · previous MQ-000767.v6

1X2 · HOME · 65.9% · confidence 92 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.52
Market price: 1.70
Probability gap: 9.9 percentage points
Generated: Fri 9 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Published: Fri 9 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordFri 9 Oct · 09:11 UTC3c1bf…4f49

3c1bf0e9c94d0d07272874d2cb850a7e1cee1e9e09e1744e733727d045d74f49

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv0r0d1r00a8r6a30yf0amb6",
 "edge": 0.099237,
 "fairOdds": 1.52,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T09:11:45.583Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.7,
 "modelProbability": 0.659233,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000767.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000767.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T09:11:45.583Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTCed64b…ae27

ed64bb3d3af25febbba8ff00ecf7e574d1429b3d4637e33a999d3aa13ae2ae27

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv0r0d1r00a8r6a30yf0amb6",
 "edge": 0.099237,
 "fairOdds": 1.52,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T09:11:45.583Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.7,
 "modelProbability": 0.659233,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000767.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000767.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 65.9% · DRAW 23.9% · AWAY 10.2%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-09 09:11Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-09 09:11Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H24_48
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.70
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 8 · previous MQ-000767.v7

1X2 · HOME · 68.9% · confidence 90 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.45
Market price: 1.71
Probability gap: 13.2 percentage points
Generated: Fri 9 Oct · 15:13 UTC
Published: Fri 9 Oct · 15:13 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordFri 9 Oct · 15:13 UTCd28f8…9d4e

d28f84ca0d351b7324be86423f45ec52bc09ddc1d42f7d9f223ff85728909d4e

{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv13xzx500c7r6j3twk5fv5c",
 "edge": 0.132433,
 "fairOdds": 1.45,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T15:13:49.571Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.71,
 "modelProbability": 0.689202,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000767.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000767.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T15:13:49.571Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTCea091…5333

ea0915ad7864b735ed409f76ebc37fdf69398a7d012c85a89c00511291585333

{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv13xzx500c7r6j3twk5fv5c",
 "edge": 0.132433,
 "fairOdds": 1.45,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T15:13:49.571Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.71,
 "modelProbability": 0.689202,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000767.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000767.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 68.9% · DRAW 21.5% · AWAY 9.6%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-09 15:13Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-09 15:13Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H24_48
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.71
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 9 · previous MQ-000767.v8

1X2 · HOME · 65.9% · confidence 92 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.52
Market price: 1.72
Probability gap: 10.4 percentage points
Generated: Sat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Published: Sat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTC52e7e…10e2

52e7e36c8cd421b9b45c8cd675a5942a648bb68c50bb2f68d2b1e6881b2210e2

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv26g2yl00d8r65x07r2l2a9",
 "edge": 0.103633,
 "fairOdds": 1.52,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.72,
 "modelProbability": 0.659233,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000767.v9",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000767.v8",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC0c034…720a

0c0349e75c505e9951efbfaa27443a044ffcfe8556f7be3b2efd755a1826720a

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv26g2yl00d8r65x07r2l2a9",
 "edge": 0.103633,
 "fairOdds": 1.52,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.72,
 "modelProbability": 0.659233,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000767.v9",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000767.v8",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 65.9% · DRAW 23.9% · AWAY 10.2%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-10 09:11Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-10 09:11Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H6_12
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.72
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 10 · previous MQ-000767.v9

1X2 · HOME · 68.9% · confidence 90 · reason: Model refresh

החטאה

Fair price: 1.45
Market price: 1.72
Probability gap: 13.5 percentage points
Generated: Sat 10 Oct · 12:10 UTC
Published: Sat 10 Oct · 12:10 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 12:10 UTC253e5…0e55

253e536dec2fbdd467face66caaff56941f24b074e30c5ca18e89b7b80d70e55

{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv2cu5k5005ur6uq2m8h8uyx",
 "edge": 0.135298,
 "fairOdds": 1.45,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T12:10:57.413Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.72,
 "modelProbability": 0.689202,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000767.v10",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000767.v9",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T12:10:57.413Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC7f9f3…a66d

7f9f37e56b05f8a3a643d1866fa4baa5ddef16427acf88674cf5ca874bcba66d

{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv2cu5k5005ur6uq2m8h8uyx",
 "edge": 0.135298,
 "fairOdds": 1.45,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T12:10:57.413Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.72,
 "modelProbability": 0.689202,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000767.v10",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000767.v9",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 68.9% · DRAW 21.5% · AWAY 9.6%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-10 12:10Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-10 12:10Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H1_6
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.72
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.