PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000769

MQ-000769

Man United v Tottenham · Premier League · Sat 10 Oct · 16:30 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

BTTS · YES · 52.1% · confidence 92

בוטל

Fair price: 1.92
Market price: —
Probability gap: No market price to compare against.
Generated: Tue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTC
Published: Tue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordTue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTC315a0…5e6e

315a09d4533014efa081e583531466b6c9699a3a63a4f18f773fe3528c505e6e

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuwzruxp008qr6qb5brv10k8",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.92,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.520537,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000769",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC2848f…3e47

2848f98074e11c751c05da3ebcc372b4618696d426e344832486d34195d43e47

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuwzruxp008qr6qb5brv10k8",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.92,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.520537,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000769",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: YES 52.1% · NO 47.9%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-06 18:06Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-06 18:06Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000769

BTTS · YES · 51.0% · confidence 90 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.96
Market price: —
Probability gap: No market price to compare against.
Generated: Thu 8 Oct · 21:14 UTC
Published: Thu 8 Oct · 21:14 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordThu 8 Oct · 21:14 UTC98dae…61d2

98dae85412de2d0be92e5e7023c8eb284a95bad41c801f56f7cdc4511dec61d2

{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv01dvct008er60x3gb5lukl",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.96,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T21:14:49.994Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.510052,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000769.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000769",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-08T21:14:49.994Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTCc0a2d…7616

c0a2dcf557961449d01676bd701b10dfe530419fc3849a936984301fd5f07616

{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv01dvct008er60x3gb5lukl",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.96,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T21:14:49.994Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.510052,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000769.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000769",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: YES 51.0% · NO 49.0%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-08 21:14Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-08 21:14Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H24_48
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000769.v2

BTTS · YES · 52.1% · confidence 92 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.92
Market price: —
Probability gap: No market price to compare against.
Generated: Fri 9 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Published: Fri 9 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordFri 9 Oct · 09:11 UTCb9131…2342

b9131fdf2e7d819cd5f4a6fd7df953313bfeb5f0e7eaeb6d6d133e8c50b72342

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv0r0d1r00a8r6a30yf0amb6",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.92,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T09:11:45.583Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.520568,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000769.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000769.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T09:11:45.583Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC87d5b…1dd7

87d5b0600aeb06eee26fe5e07d239a318c99c5ba747fa11dfbac4ede82d71dd7

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv0r0d1r00a8r6a30yf0amb6",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.92,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T09:11:45.583Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.520568,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000769.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000769.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: YES 52.1% · NO 47.9%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-09 09:11Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-09 09:11Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H24_48
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 4 · previous MQ-000769.v3

BTTS · YES · 51.0% · confidence 90 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.96
Market price: —
Probability gap: No market price to compare against.
Generated: Fri 9 Oct · 15:13 UTC
Published: Fri 9 Oct · 15:13 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordFri 9 Oct · 15:13 UTCd4ad2…91ec

d4ad22d50072621273420baaa412982785419a1dcdf69da4ce7039f35b3491ec

{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv13xzx500c7r6j3twk5fv5c",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.96,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T15:13:49.571Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.510138,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000769.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000769.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T15:13:49.571Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTCc98ab…732c

c98abd9766e6a4ba88235c0bb312b87aff6c0bcf3f809929d1ac21a48e50732c

{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv13xzx500c7r6j3twk5fv5c",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.96,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T15:13:49.571Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.510138,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000769.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000769.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: YES 51.0% · NO 49.0%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-09 15:13Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-09 15:13Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H24_48
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 5 · previous MQ-000769.v4

BTTS · YES · 52.1% · confidence 92 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.92
Market price: —
Probability gap: No market price to compare against.
Generated: Sat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Published: Sat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTCe00ab…9c8b

e00ab1b455fd03525a23c30f9f74902587b31da0f9557b744428c002ee7f9c8b

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv26g2yl00d8r65x07r2l2a9",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.92,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.520681,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000769.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000769.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC338b9…ab82

338b910c56d97ab5ef5df2e65d6ee5027fcb369f282eea769041cf26b0f1ab82

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv26g2yl00d8r65x07r2l2a9",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.92,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.520681,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000769.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000769.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: YES 52.1% · NO 47.9%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-10 09:11Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-10 09:11Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H6_12
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 6 · previous MQ-000769.v5

BTTS · YES · 51.0% · confidence 90 · reason: Model refresh

פגיעה

Fair price: 1.96
Market price: —
Probability gap: No market price to compare against.
Generated: Sat 10 Oct · 12:10 UTC
Published: Sat 10 Oct · 12:10 UTC
Locked: Sat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 12:10 UTC1bf5d…1beb

1bf5d9b79c2e28cbcfa1ee60ca000dcf150dec3ef2e37aa7e7313f0ff8dd1beb

{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv2cu5k5005ur6uq2m8h8uyx",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.96,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T12:10:57.413Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.510239,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000769.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000769.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T12:10:57.413Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:32 UTC750f7…a31b

750f724df1286000c5b2ce571f562859f652e72f429b79fbacfa48ce34e7a31b

{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv2cu5k5005ur6uq2m8h8uyx",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.96,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynn1102ftjv04ejf7n2ad",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T12:10:57.413Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.510239,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000769.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000769.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:32:00.824Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: YES 51.0% · NO 49.0%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-10 12:10Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-10 12:10Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H1_6
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.