MQ-000771
Hapoel Katamon v Maccabi Haifa · Israeli Premier League · Mon 12 Oct · 17:30 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.51
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Tue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTC
- Published
- Tue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 12 Oct · 16:59 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTC01980…ef2c
{
"confidenceScore": 77,
"dataQualityScore": 45,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuwzrzzy00aqr6qb56xff6or",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.51,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurym2nd02dyjv04geapquui",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.660434,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000771",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordMon 12 Oct · 16:59 UTCc5817…d617
{
"confidenceScore": 77,
"dataQualityScore": 45,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuwzrzzy00aqr6qb56xff6or",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.51,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurym2nd02dyjv04geapquui",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.660434,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000771",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-12T16:59:14.403Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 66.0% · UNDER 34.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-06 18:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-06 18:06Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000771
- Fair price
- 1.51
- Market price
- 1.67
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 9.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 7 Oct · 12:08 UTC
- Published
- Wed 7 Oct · 12:08 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 12 Oct · 16:59 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 7 Oct · 12:08 UTC09e2c…54ea
{
"confidenceScore": 81,
"dataQualityScore": 63,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuy2fywu005cr6luc4bk96h1",
"edge": 0.097474,
"fairOdds": 1.51,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurym2nd02dyjv04geapquui",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-07T12:08:43.030Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.67,
"modelProbability": 0.660301,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000771.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000771",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-07T12:08:43.030Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordMon 12 Oct · 16:59 UTCd2015…672b
{
"confidenceScore": 81,
"dataQualityScore": 63,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuy2fywu005cr6luc4bk96h1",
"edge": 0.097474,
"fairOdds": 1.51,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurym2nd02dyjv04geapquui",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-07T12:08:43.030Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.67,
"modelProbability": 0.660301,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000771.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000771",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-12T16:59:14.403Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 66.0% · UNDER 34.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-07 12:08Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-07 12:08Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.67
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000771.v2
- Fair price
- 1.52
- Market price
- 1.57
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 6 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTC
- Published
- Sat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 12 Oct · 16:59 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTCfb044…0046
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 60,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv26ib4700mjr65xvjdexu9m",
"edge": 0.060302,
"fairOdds": 1.52,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurym2nd02dyjv04geapquui",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.57,
"modelProbability": 0.659792,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000771.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000771.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordMon 12 Oct · 16:59 UTC9a897…f403
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 60,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv26ib4700mjr65xvjdexu9m",
"edge": 0.060302,
"fairOdds": 1.52,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurym2nd02dyjv04geapquui",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.57,
"modelProbability": 0.659792,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000771.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000771.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-12T16:59:14.403Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 66.0% · UNDER 34.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-10 09:11Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-10 09:11Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.57
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.