MQ-000773
Hapoel Petah Tikva v Maccabi Netanya · Israeli Premier League · Sat 10 Oct · 16:15 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 2.82
- Market price
- 3.50
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 9.9 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTC
- Published
- Tue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 10 Oct · 14:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTC64ffa…b211
{
"confidenceScore": 66,
"dataQualityScore": 60,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuwzs5r600ckr6qbh0r8660j",
"edge": 0.099034,
"fairOdds": 2.82,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurym2rf02e4jv04y9bw0kt0",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 3.5,
"modelProbability": 0.354621,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000773",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:02 UTC8aef4…c715
{
"confidenceScore": 66,
"dataQualityScore": 60,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuwzs5r600ckr6qbh0r8660j",
"edge": 0.099034,
"fairOdds": 2.82,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurym2rf02e4jv04y9bw0kt0",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 3.5,
"modelProbability": 0.354621,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000773",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:02:00.916Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 35.5% · DRAW 29.3% · AWAY 35.2%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-06 18:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-06 18:06Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 3.50
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000773
- Fair price
- 2.82
- Market price
- 4.00
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 12.9 percentage points
- Generated
- Thu 8 Oct · 03:09 UTC
- Published
- Thu 8 Oct · 03:09 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 10 Oct · 14:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 8 Oct · 03:09 UTC6eb89…98d6
{
"confidenceScore": 66,
"dataQualityScore": 60,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuyylmj3003er6wt6rv18gu7",
"edge": 0.129092,
"fairOdds": 2.82,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurym2rf02e4jv04y9bw0kt0",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-08T03:09:33.887Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 4,
"modelProbability": 0.354621,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000773.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000773",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-08T03:09:33.887Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 14:02 UTC43d1c…e5d7
{
"confidenceScore": 66,
"dataQualityScore": 60,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuyylmj3003er6wt6rv18gu7",
"edge": 0.129092,
"fairOdds": 2.82,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurym2rf02e4jv04y9bw0kt0",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-08T03:09:33.887Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 4,
"modelProbability": 0.354621,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000773.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000773",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-10T14:02:00.916Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 35.5% · DRAW 29.3% · AWAY 35.2%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-08 03:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-08 03:09Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 4.00
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.