MQ-000776
Hapoel Ramat Gan v Beitar Jerusalem · Israeli Premier League · Sun 11 Oct · 17:15 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.87
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Tue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTC
- Published
- Tue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 11 Oct · 15:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 6 Oct · 18:06 UTC27d3d…3c41
{
"confidenceScore": 67,
"dataQualityScore": 21,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuwzsapw00eer6qbp017eums",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.87,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurym2v402eajv04etbe5caz",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.53615,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000776",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Lock recordSun 11 Oct · 15:02 UTC71c89…cc39
{
"confidenceScore": 67,
"dataQualityScore": 21,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuwzsapw00eer6qbp017eums",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.87,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurym2v402eajv04etbe5caz",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-06T18:06:38.941Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.53615,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000776",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-11T15:02:02.553Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 20.7% · DRAW 25.6% · AWAY 53.6%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-06 18:06Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-06 18:06Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000776
- Fair price
- 1.87
- Market price
- 1.42
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 9.5 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 7 Oct · 12:08 UTC
- Published
- Wed 7 Oct · 12:08 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 11 Oct · 15:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 7 Oct · 12:08 UTCcfd61…8b28
{
"confidenceScore": 70,
"dataQualityScore": 36,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuy2g43d006mr6lugeswk46p",
"edge": -0.094744,
"fairOdds": 1.87,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurym2v402eajv04etbe5caz",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-07T12:08:43.030Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.42,
"modelProbability": 0.53615,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000776.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000776",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-07T12:08:43.030Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Lock recordSun 11 Oct · 15:02 UTC2db79…7f5b
{
"confidenceScore": 70,
"dataQualityScore": 36,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuy2g43d006mr6lugeswk46p",
"edge": -0.094744,
"fairOdds": 1.87,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurym2v402eajv04etbe5caz",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-07T12:08:43.030Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.42,
"modelProbability": 0.53615,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000776.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000776",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-11T15:02:02.553Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 20.7% · DRAW 25.6% · AWAY 53.6%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-07 12:08Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-07 12:08Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.42
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000776.v2
- Fair price
- 1.87
- Market price
- 1.50
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 6.4 percentage points
- Generated
- Fri 9 Oct · 03:12 UTC
- Published
- Fri 9 Oct · 03:12 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 11 Oct · 15:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordFri 9 Oct · 03:12 UTC05da6…6a84
{
"confidenceScore": 70,
"dataQualityScore": 36,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv0e75q1007wr65l9fpvluk6",
"edge": -0.064143,
"fairOdds": 1.87,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurym2v402eajv04etbe5caz",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-09T03:12:32.175Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.5,
"modelProbability": 0.53615,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000776.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000776.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-09T03:12:32.175Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Lock recordSun 11 Oct · 15:02 UTC3d1e3…7b02
{
"confidenceScore": 70,
"dataQualityScore": 36,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv0e75q1007wr65l9fpvluk6",
"edge": -0.064143,
"fairOdds": 1.87,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurym2v402eajv04etbe5caz",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-09T03:12:32.175Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.5,
"modelProbability": 0.53615,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000776.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000776.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-11T15:02:02.553Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 20.7% · DRAW 25.6% · AWAY 53.6%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-09 03:12Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-09 03:12Z
- Data coverage
- STANDARD
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.50
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.