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PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000787

MQ-000787

Napoli v Frosinone · Serie A · Sat 10 Oct · 18:45 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

1X2 · HOME · 51.0% · confidence 73
בוטל
Fair price
1.96
Market price
1.44
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
14.8 percentage points
Generated
Tue 6 Oct · 21:13 UTC
Published
Tue 6 Oct · 21:13 UTC
Locked
Sat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 6 Oct · 21:13 UTC28f6c…ce4f
28f6ca7cdc9320d10565ffb80c20f5b196a74b72538f407f00626effc64ece4f
{
 "confidenceScore": 73,
 "dataQualityScore": 49,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmux6j92e005cr6diuxnnkhzl",
 "edge": -0.147823,
 "fairOdds": 1.96,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnyn02h1jv04bsf0asjk",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-06T21:13:45.306Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.44,
 "modelProbability": 0.510212,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000787",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-06T21:13:45.306Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}
Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTCb9796…b249
b9796e98932bd243ac1bec618293d1234972f93f10a241c39f6d80663341b249
{
 "confidenceScore": 73,
 "dataQualityScore": 49,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmux6j92e005cr6diuxnnkhzl",
 "edge": -0.147823,
 "fairOdds": 1.96,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnyn02h1jv04bsf0asjk",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-06T21:13:45.306Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.44,
 "modelProbability": 0.510212,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000787",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T16:32:06.278Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 51.0% · DRAW 28.5% · AWAY 20.5%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-10-06 21:13Z
Information cutoff
2026-10-06 21:13Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H72_PLUS
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
1.44
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000787

1X2 · HOME · 48.2% · confidence 75 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
2.07
Market price
1.44
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
17.7 percentage points
Generated
Wed 7 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Published
Wed 7 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Locked
Sat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 7 Oct · 09:11 UTC7923f…ad61
7923fe883e6aebf8818adf231b00888b7d71596e9f53e75d0c92adf72ee0ad61
{
 "confidenceScore": 75,
 "dataQualityScore": 49,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuxw4dlh00a6r605dpbkw5yj",
 "edge": -0.177421,
 "fairOdds": 2.07,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnyn02h1jv04bsf0asjk",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T09:11:22.183Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.44,
 "modelProbability": 0.482266,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000787.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000787",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-07T09:11:22.183Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}
Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTCf195e…b070
f195ebcbbbec642dabcf791a178e0f3958e3bdc97d4fa309e1d93bf07c5fb070
{
 "confidenceScore": 75,
 "dataQualityScore": 49,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuxw4dlh00a6r605dpbkw5yj",
 "edge": -0.177421,
 "fairOdds": 2.07,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnyn02h1jv04bsf0asjk",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T09:11:22.183Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.44,
 "modelProbability": 0.482266,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000787.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000787",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T16:32:06.278Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 48.2% · DRAW 26.9% · AWAY 24.8%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-10-07 09:11Z
Information cutoff
2026-10-07 09:11Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H72_PLUS
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
1.44
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000787.v2

1X2 · HOME · 51.0% · confidence 73 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.96
Market price
1.44
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
14.7 percentage points
Generated
Wed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC
Published
Wed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC
Locked
Sat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTCb79ec…5c82
b79ec9dc293bf95394ca47d8de30b7244148ad107788c75e07e243f31d2f5c82
{
 "confidenceScore": 73,
 "dataQualityScore": 49,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuyfbik500b8r68ku18i0i1l",
 "edge": -0.146745,
 "fairOdds": 1.96,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnyn02h1jv04bsf0asjk",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.44,
 "modelProbability": 0.510212,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000787.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000787.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}
Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTC77025…6834
77025e5bbebc5606ec0ad3e4d01b7d95d5a7a11ae7dd04cd5cc6f6fd69b06834
{
 "confidenceScore": 73,
 "dataQualityScore": 49,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuyfbik500b8r68ku18i0i1l",
 "edge": -0.146745,
 "fairOdds": 1.96,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnyn02h1jv04bsf0asjk",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.44,
 "modelProbability": 0.510212,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000787.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000787.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T16:32:06.278Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 51.0% · DRAW 28.5% · AWAY 20.5%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-10-07 18:09Z
Information cutoff
2026-10-07 18:09Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H72_PLUS
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
1.44
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 4 · previous MQ-000787.v3

1X2 · HOME · 48.2% · confidence 75 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
2.07
Market price
1.44
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
17.7 percentage points
Generated
Thu 8 Oct · 09:16 UTC
Published
Thu 8 Oct · 09:16 UTC
Locked
Sat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 8 Oct · 09:16 UTC05f86…65fc
05f86075b6db1ec93da4dc3ef8dd643cec7e6706f3bad00e32e4d3731b7165fc
{
 "confidenceScore": 75,
 "dataQualityScore": 49,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzbujxk00cyr6l896thcalo",
 "edge": -0.177274,
 "fairOdds": 2.07,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnyn02h1jv04bsf0asjk",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T09:16:31.392Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.44,
 "modelProbability": 0.482266,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000787.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000787.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-08T09:16:31.392Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}
Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTC20aa7…c799
20aa7bb6a58541cd17ece6f47b42d421ada90eaafd34c308f5b2e4c9920ac799
{
 "confidenceScore": 75,
 "dataQualityScore": 49,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzbujxk00cyr6l896thcalo",
 "edge": -0.177274,
 "fairOdds": 2.07,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnyn02h1jv04bsf0asjk",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T09:16:31.392Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.44,
 "modelProbability": 0.482266,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000787.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000787.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T16:32:06.278Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 48.2% · DRAW 26.9% · AWAY 24.8%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-10-08 09:16Z
Information cutoff
2026-10-08 09:16Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H48_72
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
1.44
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 5 · previous MQ-000787.v4

1X2 · HOME · 44.0% · confidence 76 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
2.27
Market price
1.44
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
21.8 percentage points
Generated
Thu 8 Oct · 15:10 UTC
Published
Thu 8 Oct · 15:10 UTC
Locked
Sat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 8 Oct · 15:10 UTC3b788…8a3e
3b788928f4373698a0342efd93707f58cd84244c46935590c849bf55b2498a3e
{
 "confidenceScore": 76,
 "dataQualityScore": 49,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzoem2t00gor6davc2po9kq",
 "edge": -0.217627,
 "fairOdds": 2.27,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnyn02h1jv04bsf0asjk",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T15:10:59.262Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.44,
 "modelProbability": 0.44001,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000787.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000787.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-08T15:10:59.262Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}
Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTC04c92…4d94
04c92c1521d3fa29ee1b0457cfd55c757da78e2b814264e47725e93712cc4d94
{
 "confidenceScore": 76,
 "dataQualityScore": 49,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzoem2t00gor6davc2po9kq",
 "edge": -0.217627,
 "fairOdds": 2.27,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnyn02h1jv04bsf0asjk",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T15:10:59.262Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.44,
 "modelProbability": 0.44001,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000787.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000787.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T16:32:06.278Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 44.0% · DRAW 29.1% · AWAY 26.9%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-10-08 15:10Z
Information cutoff
2026-10-08 15:10Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H48_72
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
1.44
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 6 · previous MQ-000787.v5

1X2 · HOME · 42.4% · confidence 76 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
2.36
Market price
1.45
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
23.1 percentage points
Generated
Thu 8 Oct · 21:14 UTC
Published
Thu 8 Oct · 21:14 UTC
Locked
Sat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 8 Oct · 21:14 UTCf42f8…4a5e
f42f824dea26c43ff3891a6b5a622f7e8d0752aed32d87b2a4f8b7a4ffd24a5e
{
 "confidenceScore": 76,
 "dataQualityScore": 49,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv01e7la00awr60xw4d2ulk1",
 "edge": -0.231419,
 "fairOdds": 2.36,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnyn02h1jv04bsf0asjk",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T21:14:49.994Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.45,
 "modelProbability": 0.423896,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000787.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000787.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-08T21:14:49.994Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}
Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTC8c9b1…8954
8c9b1ddd181b5227c9ad4888c5d02d53cd36b0ced130a24f26642c3de57e8954
{
 "confidenceScore": 76,
 "dataQualityScore": 49,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv01e7la00awr60xw4d2ulk1",
 "edge": -0.231419,
 "fairOdds": 2.36,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnyn02h1jv04bsf0asjk",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T21:14:49.994Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.45,
 "modelProbability": 0.423896,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000787.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000787.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T16:32:06.278Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 42.4% · DRAW 28.1% · AWAY 29.5%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-10-08 21:14Z
Information cutoff
2026-10-08 21:14Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H24_48
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
1.45
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 7 · previous MQ-000787.v6

1X2 · HOME · 41.0% · confidence 57 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
2.44
Market price
1.46
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
24.3 percentage points
Generated
Sat 10 Oct · 12:10 UTC
Published
Sat 10 Oct · 12:10 UTC
Locked
Sat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 12:10 UTC073c9…d2da
073c9169140dd441443f1b59972536d59c5f2b90a9b2db99dabdc3fdfd6dd2da
{
 "confidenceScore": 57,
 "dataQualityScore": 49,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv2cuiat0089r6uqccpwblvi",
 "edge": -0.243043,
 "fairOdds": 2.44,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnyn02h1jv04bsf0asjk",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T12:10:57.413Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.46,
 "modelProbability": 0.409807,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000787.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000787.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T12:10:57.413Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}
Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTCb7809…6560
b7809a5123fda97650c16f7199aaae2693cf0162ff04a883e972749ccd986560
{
 "confidenceScore": 57,
 "dataQualityScore": 49,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv2cuiat0089r6uqccpwblvi",
 "edge": -0.243043,
 "fairOdds": 2.44,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnyn02h1jv04bsf0asjk",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T12:10:57.413Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.46,
 "modelProbability": 0.409807,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000787.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000787.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T16:32:06.278Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 41.0% · DRAW 28.2% · AWAY 30.9%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-10-10 12:10Z
Information cutoff
2026-10-10 12:10Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H6_12
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
1.46
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 8 · previous MQ-000787.v7

1X2 · HOME · 41.0% · confidence 57 · reason: Market price update
פגיעה
Fair price
2.44
Market price
1.51
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
22.1 percentage points
Generated
Sat 10 Oct · 15:14 UTC
Published
Sat 10 Oct · 15:14 UTC
Locked
Sat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 15:14 UTC4fdb4…760b
4fdb484f7f706e1bf4ea3372646aae9bc6918ea91e1ffc8721f6c05157d5760b
{
 "confidenceScore": 57,
 "dataQualityScore": 49,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv2je0pa003zr6xic2edtcfi",
 "edge": -0.221405,
 "fairOdds": 2.44,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnyn02h1jv04bsf0asjk",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T15:14:32.307Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.51,
 "modelProbability": 0.409807,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000787.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000787.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T15:14:32.307Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}
Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTC2a650…1246
2a650939d4c2d6a96ff2e5e61db61e9ebe2b2dcd0f758d6f39632b9755aa1246
{
 "confidenceScore": 57,
 "dataQualityScore": 49,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv2je0pa003zr6xic2edtcfi",
 "edge": -0.221405,
 "fairOdds": 2.44,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynnyn02h1jv04bsf0asjk",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T15:14:32.307Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.51,
 "modelProbability": 0.409807,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000787.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000787.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T16:32:06.278Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 41.0% · DRAW 28.2% · AWAY 30.9%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-10-10 15:14Z
Information cutoff
2026-10-10 15:14Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H1_6
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
1.51
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.