MQ-000788
Brest v Angers · Ligue 1 · Sat 10 Oct · 18:45 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 2.36
- Market price
- 1.96
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 5.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 6 Oct · 21:13 UTC
- Published
- Tue 6 Oct · 21:13 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 6 Oct · 21:13 UTC6eaae…4e00
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmux6jdod0062r6diaa9w7k6o",
"edge": -0.057569,
"fairOdds": 2.36,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynp4g02ihjv04f7wzlrib",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-06T21:13:45.306Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.96,
"modelProbability": 0.423896,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000788",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-06T21:13:45.306Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTC31268…064f
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmux6jdod0062r6diaa9w7k6o",
"edge": -0.057569,
"fairOdds": 2.36,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynp4g02ihjv04f7wzlrib",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-06T21:13:45.306Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.96,
"modelProbability": 0.423896,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000788",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-10T16:32:06.278Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 42.4% · DRAW 28.1% · AWAY 29.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-06 21:13Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-06 21:13Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.96
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000788
- Fair price
- 2.08
- Market price
- 1.96
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 0.1 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 7 Oct · 09:11 UTC
- Published
- Wed 7 Oct · 09:11 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 7 Oct · 09:11 UTC8ca58…fce6
{
"confidenceScore": 91,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuxw4i9000aur605k5qi56oe",
"edge": -0.001072,
"fairOdds": 2.08,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynp4g02ihjv04f7wzlrib",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-07T09:11:22.183Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.96,
"modelProbability": 0.480393,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000788.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000788",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-07T09:11:22.183Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTCc80ed…a8e5
{
"confidenceScore": 91,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuxw4i9000aur605k5qi56oe",
"edge": -0.001072,
"fairOdds": 2.08,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynp4g02ihjv04f7wzlrib",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-07T09:11:22.183Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.96,
"modelProbability": 0.480393,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000788.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000788",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-10T16:32:06.278Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 48.0% · DRAW 27.0% · AWAY 24.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-07 09:11Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-07 09:11Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.96
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000788.v2
- Fair price
- 2.36
- Market price
- 1.96
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 5.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC
- Published
- Wed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC40e35…ebff
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuyfbldo00byr68k0qfey6hh",
"edge": -0.057231,
"fairOdds": 2.36,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynp4g02ihjv04f7wzlrib",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.96,
"modelProbability": 0.423896,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000788.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000788.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTC936b8…36eb
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuyfbldo00byr68k0qfey6hh",
"edge": -0.057231,
"fairOdds": 2.36,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynp4g02ihjv04f7wzlrib",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.96,
"modelProbability": 0.423896,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000788.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000788.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-10T16:32:06.278Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 42.4% · DRAW 28.1% · AWAY 29.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-07 18:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-07 18:09Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.96
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.