MQ-000789
Brest v Angers · Ligue 1 · Sat 10 Oct · 18:45 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.96
- Market price
- 2.06
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 5.2 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 6 Oct · 21:13 UTC
- Published
- Tue 6 Oct · 21:13 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 6 Oct · 21:13 UTC84cfe…39d5
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmux6jdod0062r6diaa9w7k6o",
"edge": 0.05199,
"fairOdds": 1.96,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynp4g02ihjv04f7wzlrib",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-06T21:13:45.306Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2.06,
"modelProbability": 0.509885,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000789",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-06T21:13:45.306Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTC339e1…5cbe
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmux6jdod0062r6diaa9w7k6o",
"edge": 0.05199,
"fairOdds": 1.96,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynp4g02ihjv04f7wzlrib",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-06T21:13:45.306Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2.06,
"modelProbability": 0.509885,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000789",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-10T16:32:06.278Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 49.0% · UNDER 51.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-06 21:13Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-06 21:13Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.06
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000789
- Fair price
- 1.94
- Market price
- 2.17
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 8.1 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 10 Oct · 15:14 UTC
- Published
- Sat 10 Oct · 15:14 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 15:14 UTC2342d…aa42
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv2je63q004qr6xi9ukqpb2u",
"edge": 0.080896,
"fairOdds": 1.94,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynp4g02ihjv04f7wzlrib",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-10T15:14:32.307Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2.17,
"modelProbability": 0.514316,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000789.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000789",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-10T15:14:32.307Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTCf83db…b5c2
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv2je63q004qr6xi9ukqpb2u",
"edge": 0.080896,
"fairOdds": 1.94,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynp4g02ihjv04f7wzlrib",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-10T15:14:32.307Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2.17,
"modelProbability": 0.514316,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000789.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000789",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-10T16:32:06.278Z",
"selection": "UNDER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 48.6% · UNDER 51.4%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-10 15:14Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-10 15:14Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H1_6
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.17
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.